Don’t stand where the lightning strikes.

“When misguided public opinion honors what is despicable and despises what is honorable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe.”

— Frederic Bastiat, nineteenth century French economist and writer

“God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”

― Reinhold Niebuhr

This is part of a new worldview-based post series – intended for planning and action use by executives and managers. These posts offer an example framework that might be adapted to address particular needs and situations. This post continues the business case example of how a business might deal – proactively – with a serious black swan event: a sudden, unexpected loss of a major customer.

If you would like to see how this started – an experiment, please refer to this initial post on my new direction.

Rather than repeat the introductory sections in prior worldview posts, I’ll just provide links for those who are new to this case series:

Worldview 5 – the starting point for assessing vulnerabilities to black swan events within the context of a hypothetical business MedTechNorth (MTN).

Worldview 6 – begins the business case by introducing members of the small planning team and its initial working charter to prepare for a major sales loss.

Worldview 7 – adds a real black swan event – impending loss of a major customer – to the situation, which complicates vulnerabilities assessment.

Worldview 8 – the team enlarges its planning scope to include both the customer loss and the impact vulnerabilities focus in parallel.

And now for something completely different …

As you will have noticed, our crazy world is rapidly becoming even crazier. This situation was anticipated as the selection event draws near (now just 5 months away), but the crazy-driver set seems to be getting much more complex and serious. The selection craziness may well be completely eclipsed by much else. Including a major escalation of our underway, non-nuke (yet), World War III. Some highlights (or lowlights, more accurately) …

➧ The WHO Pandemic Treaty seems to have crashed (for now).
If real, this is huge, but like so much else today, it may well be more of the usual misinformation, disinformation, and/or malinformation. We’ll see …

“The World Health Organization was hoping that there would be a vote on the global pandemic treaty at the World Health Assembly at the end of this month, but now that is not going to happen.  Negotiations that were supposed to result in a final draft of the treaty have completely broken down, and that is great news because the treaty would have transferred a tremendous amount of authority to the World Health Organization.  But if dengue fever continues to rip across the globe like it has been, or if H5N1 mutates into a form that can spread easily from person to person, fear of what is coming next could potentially revive the negotiations.”

“On Friday, the WHO publicly admitted that negotiations had ended without producing a final draft of the treaty.  The following comes from ABC News… “

“On Friday, Roland Driece, co-chair of WHO’s negotiating board for the agreement, acknowledged that countries were unable to come up with a draft. WHO had hoped a final draft treaty could be agreed on at its yearly meeting of health ministers starting Monday in Geneva. “

“’We are not where we hoped we would be when we started this process,’ he said, adding that finalizing an international agreement on how to respond to a pandemic was critical ‘for the sake of humanity.’”

“Driece said the World Health Assembly next week would take up lessons from its work and plot the way forward, urging participants to make ‘the right decisions to take this process forward’ to one day reach a pandemic agreement ‘because we need it.’”

Because this treaty (or hoped-for acquiescence by 194 nations) was so important to WHO’s nefarious schemes, it is rather hard to believe that this is more than a minor stumbling block to the powers-that-be-and-wannabe. In fact, I expect instead a doubling down by the UN, WHO, and accomplices.

I have written several times about my fear that failure here is not an option. See, for example: “The World Is Getting Greatly Reset, But Not As Planned”, “Good Riddance 2023. Welcome 2024. Maybe …”, and “Who Is WHO? The Great Resetter, Maybe?”. This is their last chance to prevail.

They may well be desperate at this point. It is pull out all of the stops time. My sense for what this entails is that the various sets of bad guys will try to stack up a number of catastrophes in the very near future:

  • Escalating WW III – perhaps even to mini-nuke extremes
  • Disease-X – we now have bird flu (H5N1) and dengue fever
  • Financial collapse – this appears to have been scheduled at last

Plus a number of others. The real trick will be getting these to occur more or less simultaneously. Who needs the pandemic treaty when you can impose martial law to do much the same job with far less hassle.

➧ WW III seems to be escalating – for election purposes?
I normally wouldn’t pay much attention to such reports, especially by Russian News Agency TASS, but the source is extremely credible: Seymour Hersh.

“US President Joe Biden may want to go to war with Russia to raise his approval rating ahead of the presidential election in the country, US Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Seymour Hersh said in an interview with Davidekyo YouTube Channel.”

“’I don’t know why. But one thing I can tell you about presidents – they (members of Joe Biden’s administration – TASS) have noted that the presidents like Lincoln and Roosevelt who win wars, become famous presidents, great presidents. So they always have that itch, and particularly a president of war always gets better ratings than a president not at war,’ the journalist opined.”

“In late April, Joe Biden signed a bill passed by Congress to resume arms deliveries to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan. The package was worth $95 billion. It includes $61 billion for Ukraine.”

“The statement released by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that it was the fifth security assistance package that Biden had authorized ‘since signing the national security supplemental.’ According to Blinken, the weapons from previous packages have already been handed over to Kiev. Washington ‘will move this new assistance as quickly as possible,’ the press release said.”

“Russian President Vladimir Putin has reiterated that sending more weapons to Ukraine will not bring a change in the situation on the front, but will merely drag out the conflict.”

“Washington’s provocations of Russia are recklessly worsening. As the Kremlin’s spokesman says, NATO is falling into wartime ecstasy. No one among Western politicians other than the leader of Hungary shows any inclination to abandon the road to Armageddon. The situation today is far more dangerous than during the Cold War when US and Soviet leaders were cooperating in efforts to reduce tensions and build trust. The entire Western world seems to have gone insane. The moronic Western leadership believes that having Ukraine in NATO is more important than avoiding war with Russia.”

Note: Roberts’ credibility is low in my view. He has his own agenda. The more likely situation is the reverse: The moronic Western leadership believes that starting war with Russia is more important than having Ukraine in NATO.

➧ Is the financial collapse nearly upon us? Is WW III now essential?

One might reasonably ask at this messy point in our existence why anyone might want to start a no-win big-nuke WW III. Aren’t things bad enough as is? Well, I have been asking myself just this lately as warmongering reaches fever pitch. Here is one possible big-war-driver, at least for the US:

I did not know that “we” are faced with rolling over – refinancing – nearly $10 trillion dollars in maturing government (the real “we”) debt this year. As they say in such circumstances … good luck with that.

Armstrong’s post concludes with this unhappy observation:

“The West NEEDS this war for just like World War II, governments collapsed and new ones take their place and they ALWAYS default on the debts of the previous. Even the US never honored the debts of the Continental Congress. Every Western government is preaching war. They are not interested in peace because they know they are in serious trouble when it comes to the Debt Crisis.”

Using history as a guide, which powers-that-be-and-wannabe seem to follow religiously, they are going to blow up the world to get out of paying back an unpayable stack of debt.

Umm … I don’t think so.

More likely in my humble view is that all of the warmongering by the West (US) is aimed at getting martial law declared ASAP. Once that is achieved, they can back off warmongering and return to world domination by other means. I think that everything they do during the next few months will be to this happy-for-them/unhappy-for-us outcome.

We will not have to wait long to find out. Meanwhile, my bet remains solidly on no big-nuke WW III that solves everyone’s problems (except for the unfortunate survivors).

If you have looked at the prior posts (links above), you will recall the starting point of a process example framed as a business case: MedTechNorth (MTN), a hypothetical company that manufactures, sells, and services a variety of high-end medical devices and related supplies. The first part of this case introduced a small executive team that was responding to the founder/CEO’s sense that a “something big and serious” might be impending. Nothing specific but just a very strong feeling that MTN needed to respond – to “something” – proactively.

Responding to whatan unknown event or situation of a black swan nature –seemed to be the immediate question. How might one deal proactively with a black swan event, which by definition and reality, cannot be foreseen in nature, magnitude, or timing?

The team’s coach Phil (Philippa Conroy) suggested that this apparent obstacle could be overcome by focusing on impacts from a variety of possible events and situations. The idea here was to quickly identify any major vulnerabilities in MTN and act now to eliminate or mitigate them. Making MTN much less likely to be damaged by impacts from whatever cause would be the team’s primary goal.

TN's Executive Planning Team
MTN’s Executive Planning Team

A sales impact example: sudden, unexpected loss of a major customer

This starting point impact allows the team to utilize and focus on what they do know very well: their own business (or organization or group). They may not have the full set of relevant facts and consequences at hand, but these can readily be developed.

Below is a chart of such an impact – an impact map – and its possible consequences:

A “simple” major customer loss can set off an avalanche of serious consequences.
Dynamics here are critical.

As you certainly know, none of these impact consequences is isolated or independent. They typically have many tight interdependencies. They roll out dynamically in ways that often cannot be understood until well after the fact.

In a real situation of this nature, the important set of consequences may be much larger. And substantially different.

Now to resume the MTN business case …

Here is where we left Doc, Cat, North, and Phil:

The first group meeting involved Doc’s creating the small planning team, giving it a charter, and setting up a first working session.

The first working session focused on the sales loss impact map draft (above) and how to get started on planning – aka preparing – for such an improbable event. Unlike anything that we normally plan for, this event was hypothetical and used only to focus efforts at identifying and strengthening points of significant vulnerability.

And then, to the sound of flapping black wings, the improbable impact event suddenly became very real and likely. The team found itself planning to prepare for an event that might very well take place before any preparation could be done.

As you are no doubt aware, this is the way the world works – inconveniently and marching to its own drum.

As the team’s third planning session took place, the prospect of a major customer loss became a virtual certainty. This black swan event now had to be dealt with in real-time while the team attempted to maintain its original effort to identify and mitigate MTN’s vulnerabilities from black swan event and situation impacts should such ever occur.

Addressing black swans in fact has to be done as part of business-as-usual (BAU). BAU routinely provides us with major unexpected happenings from known sources and situations – known because they occur all too frequently.

Fourth planning team meeting

The prior meeting concluded with Doc’s somewhat unilateral decision to treat the customer XYZ loss as a BAU matter, referred to hereafter as a “transition” situation because of the close friendship of XYZ’s CEO and Doc. Phil, meanwhile, with North’s strong support, argued for a continued effort to expose and mitigate MTN’s vulnerabilities using the XYZ loss as a valuable real-time information input.

Doc scheduled the fourth planning meeting presumably to address both. As is so often the case, our world system has different plans.

Doc

Doc: You all are pretty much up to date on the ABC-XYZ merger situation. It looks to be rapidly nearing closure, thanks to CEO Lin’s and my coordination. We are going to lose a great customer, but at a cost far less than it otherwise might have been. Not a happy outcome, of course, but one that we can certainly live with. ”

“And we will keep the heat on Phil’s effort to identify our vulnerabilities and fix them to the extent possible. This will be based on our sales loss impact map initially, but now with the addition of whatever the XYZ merger situation exposes. Not a small challenge here. One I’m sure we can handle, yes? Phil? “

Phil: “I need to interject an important point here before reality takes over our attention. Although I’m not directly involved with your battle to deal with the XYZ reality, I can provide the information linkage between that reality and its potential to expose our vulnerabilities. Should we have any, that is. At the same time, Leticia and I will continue our effort on developing a dynamic planning model. ”

“I should also recall our conclusion from last meeting that this black swan can be extremely valuable in exposing vulnerabilities. We are very fortunate in this respect, I believe. “

Cat: “I’ll not waste our time here by going over the XYZ situation, as it is being handled separately by quite a few others. You all know what’s going on. What I’m concerned about is Phil’s adopted role of figuring out how, and where, the XYZ situation might illuminate a vulnerability or six. We surely do have some, if I’m not thinking heretically. “

“North and I have been discussing just this matter over the past week as the reality side of things unfolds. North … can you update us on where you and I have come out so far? “

North: “You all know pretty much what we’re struggling with right now in terms of the sales loss impact on production staffing and much else. Our cash flow situation is going to require some immediate staffing reductions. Cat and I have passed along to Doc what we think may be required here. Not a pleasant picture to say the least. But it has to be done, fast. Our external financial sources have made this very clear.

“Now, with this real-time response being unavoidable, Cat and I have started to think about what we might have done a year or two ago to prevent or at least minimize this significant hit. ”

“With Phil’s impact information role being accepted, we can raise the first item of too-late preparation: too much fixed production capacity. We are extremely inflexible here. Our capacity reduction – required because of the almost certain long lead time before XYZ’s sales can be replaced – will be painful and costly. This is a huge vulnerability. “

“Briefly, we are thinking about shifting some production capacity to contract providers. We might be able to transfer a decent amount of plant and people to an existing supplier who can put them to work quickly. Which supplier? To be determined as quickly as we can manage. More on this thread next week. “

Phil: “North, this is just perfect for my – our – planning and preparation purposes. In a black swan context, many events and situations could present us with a major, sudden, and unexpected sales loss. I’m thinking here of another lockdown like the nasty COVID-19 experience. Given the world situation today, it may well be in the form of martial law. “

“The first question I have is what magnitude of future sales loss might we want, and be able, to accommodate. Maybe 25%, 33%, or even 50%? Each will require different preparation I believe. North, what do you think of this? ”

North: “Umm … this is really a tough one. Just like the one we are dealing with now, in real-time. XYZ is relatively minor compared to your catastrophic sales losses, Phil. I’m thinking now that we need maybe to redesign our entire business around scale flexibility. To me, this means that our presently rigid functional specialization would have to become a modularized business, with each module being in effect a self-contained mini-business. Our geographical diversity might also be beneficial in a black swan world. “

“I am wondering just how practical it might be to set up maybe five, largely- or fully-independent business modules. I’m not sure what our minimum economic module size might be, but this might be a good thing to know. And I have just the folks who could do this while I’m fighting with reality. Doc … does this idea make any sense to you? And Cat? ”

Doc: “What a creative idea, North! Trust you to come up with yet another one. This however involves a major rethinking of our business system. Can it actually be broken up into economically-practical modules?  North, could you for our next planning meeting get some insights on the practicality of such an idea? And, Cat, what do you think of this? “

Cat: “Doc, I think that this is a great suggestion. It is something that we might consider even if we don’t have black swans to deal with. I can imagine at least a few situations of a BAU nature that might well be addressed by something like this. We are rather exposed in our offshore locations today, as we have discussed. North’s approach might help resolve these concerns.  

“This means that our next planning meeting a whole week away might be focused on the practicability of a modular business design. I’m always in favor of duplication where feasible. Big monolithic concentrations frighten me. ”

Phil: “Great idea! I love it! It places a potential vulnerability marker right square on our kind-of monolithic business structure. This has concerned me for some time, but I’m not at all clear about why. Envision this far-out scenario: We get a black swan hit from any cause or causes. A big hit … one that potentially may destroy as much as half our business. What might a modular business design be able to offer? I’m really psyched by this idea. ”

Doc: “Done. We have the focus for our next planning meeting. North … how much do you think can be done by your folks in this short timeframe? I’m eager to see if the basic idea has economic feasibility. What is the minimum practical size of what we do as a business? Can you at least get us started on this one? ”

North: “I may end up regretting my off-the-cuff thought here, but it may well be worth doing as a fundamental planning exercise. It asks simply whether our present business design has serious vulnerabilities in our present nasty world situation where black swans are surely flocking. ”

“I have two under-challenged relative-to-capabilities folks that I can set to work on getting us started for next week. As soon as this meeting breaks up, I’ll get them working on it. They will absolutely love this one. Lots of midnight oil will get happily burned I think. Are we done? ”

Doc: “Thank you so much Phil, and North. This kind of first principles thinking is what I like best about Phil’s approach to, well, almost everything. We have always addressed new situations with far too many implicit assumptions left untouched. Such as our present business system design being possibly unsuited to the fast-changing world we are in today. While we may well find that our present design is fine, I have a strong hunch that Phil has just nailed a major vulnerability. ”

“For our planning meeting next week, let’s focus – if nothing else happens – on whether a modular business design might work better for us going forward. And if so, how might we best move toward it. Thank you all so much for this hugely productive session. ”

Planning for the unforeseeable should be routine

As this example business case illustrates, there is actually a close relationship between BAU routine and black swan events and situations. Especially when there is a dedicated effort to use BAU happenings to inform impact-focused planning and action – preparation. Decoupling impacts from specific (unforeseeable) causes is the key here.

If causes are unforeseeable, then you can only deal with possible impacts, as we are doing in this case. Risk analysis deals with impacts from known causes that have some known probabilistic basis available. Black swans by definition individually have effectively a zero probability of occurring.

The next post

The next post continues the MTN story in yet another common direction: the natural expansion of specific impacts and related vulnerabilities into a vital operating business process. Nothing major happens independently, in isolation. Everything in interdependent at some level.  This kind of planning should not be episodic, but instead ongoing in some manner.

I hope that you will not mind my repeating the extremely important case story closing point from last week …

It is almost never too late to address vulnerabilities

As you probably anticipate, this group is going to learn about some very real MTN vulnerabilities – in real-time, as the merger deal moves (now too quickly) toward closure. MTN’s offer to help will indeed help expedite this.

Even though MTN can do nothing much on vulnerability mitigation at this point, it can certainly obtain some vital information about what they might have been able to do a year earlier.

This brings up the point that routine BAU happenings can be very useful in defining vulnerabilities and possible strengthening approaches. But only if this process is currently underway, with BAU happenings fully integrated into the planning information input.

BAU happenings are just the way the world system tells us about how things really work. This information flow, along with any required analysis, should be built into the management process – not handled as an occasional or one-off effort.

The next post will continue this business case as the planning team gets deeply into dealing with the real-time sales loss – now known as “transition” – while trying to obtain some progress on vulnerability assessment and mitigation.

Let me repeat the prior post’s admonition as it now applies here:

“In preparing for battle I have always found that plans are useless, but planning is indispensable.”

— Dwight D. Eisenhower, Commander-in-Chief of the Allied Forces in Europe during the Second World War and two-term U.S. President

Planning is a process. Plans are the process output. What I think Ike meant here is that planning is vital to allow you to prepare for whatever happens. Plans simply record what is to be done by way of preparation.

Preparation is the key. You want to identify weaknesses and act to strengthen them while you have a chance. This is usually not possible once the happening happens. All you can do then is try to cope and recover.

Update: MTN’s team now has to deal with exactly this situation: the happening is about to happen in real-time, but the need to identify and address vulnerabilities must somehow be done in parallel.

Worldview Updates:

Below are links to updated sections so you don’t have to read through rest of the unchanged sections unless you want to …

#1. World War III – Current: This past week has seen an explosion of stories about the WW III threat escalating rapidly, for reasons.

#3. Disease-X – Current: It looks like the WHO’s pandemic treaty has bitten the dust, or at least so it appears. Is this truly good news?

#4. Ukraine, Gaza, … – Current: While the Ukraine situation has been stably awful for some time, real expert Scott Ritter has an interesting update.

#7 Climate Crisis – Current: While the UN’s climate crisis isn’t about climate but about control, arguments based on “real” science still appear.

#1. World War III

➧ Preamble:
As I have argued in recent posts (see here and here), we are already in a world war in its early stages. It is so far at least non-big-nuke (i.e., not a world-ending catastrophe), and fortunately non-any-nuke. It is endless local and regional wars – as usual. The military-industrial complex is prosperous and happy.

Despite numerous warnings about imminent escalation, the reality seems to be just more small-wars-as-usual. This seems quite reasonable since the various warmongers – rulers-and-wannabes everywhere – do not want to dominate a rubble-filled, radioactive world. They want a fully-functioning world, albeit with many fewer annoying people out and about.

So far, things in this respect are going well for them. Their main problems appear to be nasty competition between and within major blocks of rulers-and-wannabes. We have the West – the U.S., UK, EU, NATO, Canada, Australia, … – battling in a proxy manner with the rapidly emerging Eurasian and Global South block of nations – led by Russia, China, and India (now called BRICS+ as a group).

The unipolar West has quite successfully created, and continues to bunglingly enable, the growing group of multipolar BRICS+ nations. The latter seem almost certain to prevail in their own realm, leaving the West to continue its purposeful and quite rapid decline.

Summary:

Current:

The underway WW III may lead up to a much greater WW III, as this article suggests:

If this isn’t world war via proxies, I can’t imagine what would be – apart from an escalation to a big-nuke version. It also reinforces my sense that nothing any government or its lackeys says is reliable. The truth in fact may lie in directions opposite to what these sources are saying. Here is an article that seems to agree.

It also reinforces my sense that nothing any government or its lackeys says is reliable. The truth in fact may lie in directions opposite to what these sources are saying. Here is an article that seems to agree:

From Alt-Market.us, we have another voice anticipating WW III in a non-big-nuke form: “World War III Is Now Inevitable – Here’s Why It Can’t Be Avoided”.

Huge game-changing happening in the Middle East that will likely affect war strategizing globally:

This seems to mean that defensive systems, in the West at least, can no longer stop a serious military attack. Aggressive actions will have to be substantially toned down until nations in the West (and probably others) have been able to remedy the current defense system weaknesses. Which may take years.

My conclusion (below) from the prior posts on this seems to be getting a bit trashed over the past week:

I think that the likelihood of any serious world war mischief escalations has been severely reduced as a result, hopefully for quite a few years.

Umm … but maybe not …

Paul Craig Roberts via The Burning Platform on 6/2/2024 has a pretty stark view of happenings in DC: “Watching Washington Foment Nuclear War”:

“For two years Biden was absolutely adamant that no US weapons could be used to strike Russia. Now he reverses the policy — aka, he lied. So where’s the pushback? Congress, media? What could be of greater consequence than lying the country into war with a nuclear superpower?” — Michael Tracey

“Are the peoples of the Western world so completely insouciant that they do not notice that their politicians are pushing them into direct conflict with Russia? It seems Hungarians are the only European people who have any sense.”

“The Kremlin could not issue any warnings more dire, and in response moronic Western politicians provoke harder. Are they unable to comprehend that they are provoking a nuclear war, or is it their intention to provoke a nuclear war?”

“Biden, Blinken, and NATO have made another U-turn. The long range missiles that Ukraine could not use for attacks on Russian territory can now be used that way, but, for now, only on military targets. But the distinction between military and non-military targets is a distinction without meaning or substance. All modern wars are attacks on civilians and infrastructure.”

“From the beginning it was obvious to me that the limited military operation was a strategic blunder that would allow the West to become involved, with the consequence being the widening of the war. That is precisely what has happened. We have reached the point where Putin is telling the West to back off or out come the nukes.”

“But no one in the West hears.”

Roberts has strong views, but he has very deep experience in DC. For this reason alone, it is probably worth paying attention – but with much caution.

Roberts is not alone in seeing some significant escalation in the war scene:

Martin Armstrong, another one with very strong views but with serious credibility, offered this cheery prediction on 6/2/2024 also via The Burning Platform: “World War III by 1st Week of September 2024?”:

“Macron faces a serious collapse in confidence among the French and he too desperately needs to create war. He is pushing NATO to send in troops. They already have ‘advisers’ there and Russia knows that the Brits are in Ukraine firing the missiles, for Ukrainians are not competent. Likewise, Ukraine is incapable of sinking Russian ships in the Black Sea without US satellite intelligence.”

“We are on the edge of World War III because Western nations are nearing default on national debts. They NEED war as a distraction. The West has already declared war on Russia to try to prevent civil uprisings of a debt crisis of historic proportions. China sold $53 billion of US debt in the first quarter. They would be INSANE to buy any debt from any Western government at this stage. Zelensky is selling out his own country for a handful of silver. They cannot conquer Russia and break it up as Estonia is telling people.”

“We must be concerned about the 1st week of September both domestically as well as internationally. Even the Telegraph Newspaper wrote about the Trump verdict:”

“A politically motivated prosecution by Democrat prosecutors presided over by a politically connected Democrat judge in a politically Democrat jurisdiction against the likely Republican presidential nominee in an election year. It smells rotten because it was rotten. The whole thing stinks.”“Whether you love or hate Trump, this conviction should appall you. This is not about Donald Trump. It’s about the weaponization of the criminal justice system against a political opponent. It’s the type of prosecutorial and judicial conduct we expect in Putin’s Russia. Prior to this case, America was deeply divided. Now it’s tearing at the seams.”

Back to update list …

WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.
WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.

#2. The 2024 Elections

Preamble:

We are now in the thick of a major, even huge, election season. We can probably expect to see the very worst from both sides. There are no evident good guys in this escalating mess. The Uni-party will win and government will go on as usual. Very little will change except a few names.

The big uncertainty that I can see is one in which the election/selection results are not accepted by either party. This would involve many challenges, great disruptions, and huge protests. Government may effectively cease to function, assuming that it presently functions – see this post: “Trust. So Important. So Hard to Gain. So Easy to Lose.”.

Should most of this occur, it seems likely that someone will arrange for martial law, or equivalent lockdowns. Some, it appears, think that the COVID-19 lockdowns and related restrictions were a dry run for the real thing come 2024 election times. It probably doesn’t matter much.

There would seem to be a couple of rather likely outcomes:

(1) 2025 will be a year of internal fighting and disruptions. Probably not “civil war” in any major respect like 1860-65, but at least a serious breakdown of civil order. Kind of like today.

(2) Major cities will see the most intense and damaging confrontations. These may in fact be a trigger for lockdowns of some kind nationwide.

Will these cause financial and economic collapse? Not in the short term I think, but perhaps helping things along for more serious consequences in 2026 and beyond.

Summary:

Current:

Much as I might wish otherwise, some very useful information and insights appear in what may otherwise be regarded as political diatribes and worse. Here is a very recent example:

“Americans today are increasingly polarized, as if they constitute two separate nations.”

— Strauss & Howe, The Fourth Turning

Others are drawing similar pictures of how the election season appears to be getting set up for a martial law version of COVID lockdowns:

It is no surprise that election season turmoil is aggressively underway. This has been predicted for months if not years. The following article, however, raises the possibility that all of this is part of a big plan  – intentional rather than random.

“Editor’s Note: There’s a HUGE shift taking place during this critical phase of the 2024 election cycle. However, the ‘shift’ appears to be one that was planned for since Trump first declared his POTUS candidacy in June of 2015.  In other words, Trump entire trajectory of political successes and failures has been meticulously engineered by his puppet masters for this very moment in time. ”

“Even those four major legal cases, which were quite absurdly thrown at Trump by the Democrat Lawfare Department, have been failing woefully with purposeful design. Everyone knows that America has always loves the underdog, and especially one who has been relentlessly persecuted and prosecuted with no legitimate legal basis. ”

“All of which indicates that the banksters are setting up Trump to usher the USA through the most consequential bankruptcy in world history. ”

“… By the way, SOTN makes no judgment about whether Trump is a real Patriot or a total Zionist fraud.  At this point it really doesn’t matter.  Because only with the stout backing of the banksters will Trump be installed in the White House.  And, given what the United States is facing on both the economic and financial fronts, this nation desperately needs a bankruptcy expert at the helm. ”

“… ‘The Deep State Has Shifted Its Support To Trump For President’ by Richard C. Cook …”

“Mark my words. The Deep State has shifted its support to Trump for president. Biden is being thrown under the bus. Four years of stumbling senility; collapse of U.S. foreign policy in Afghanistan, Ukraine, and Gaza; borderline graft; and the display of ‘woke’ perversions enough to make any real adult vomit; have brought enough humiliation to America to last a century. ”

“William Barr is the deepest of the Deep State; the ultimate covert operator. It was Barr, we recall, who delivered the message to Bill Clinton that he was in line for the presidency at a covert meeting in Mena, Arkansas, back in the heyday of CIA drug and arms trafficking. ”

“Barr just endorsed Trump for president after being part of the cabal that set Trump up on January 6 and got him indicted in New York, Washington, and Georgia. Trump is beating the rap on everything thrown at him. Now the Supreme Court has been greenlighted to overturn the indictments. ”

Is any of this true? Nothing surprises me these days, so maybe my fears of the worst in government-Deep-State machinations occurring are valid. In this case, however, it is the U.S. bankruptcy and dollar collapse connection that is most worrisome. This may well occur – rather sooner than later. Trump may well be selected to help expedite this. Just what we need.

Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.
Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.

#3. Disease-X

Preamble:

Disease-X, in case you have not heard, is a term used by the World Health Organization (WHO), a UN agency, to describe a surely coming but as yet unknown, devastating disease. Like COVID-19, even. I went into this whole mess in some detail in a recent post: “Who Is WHO? The Great Resetter, Maybe?”.

The main purpose of Disease-X, so far as I can see, is to help drive world domination by the United Nations (UN), the WHO, the World Economic Forum (WEF), the World Bank, IMF, and kin. The WHO has succeeded in getting virtually every nation on earth to sign up for its control agenda, which conveniently supersedes any national policies and interests. It basically establishes a worldwide police force to tackle the ravages of Disease-X before it actually happens. Very proactive, yes?

Disease-X then, for planning purposes, is simply (well, not quite so simply) a means of achieving world domination by one set of rulers-and-wannabes. Unfortunately, they may well succeed, at least temporarily, but not without serious and powerful pushback. From whom?

From the rapidly evolving and strengthening, multipolar, Eurasian and Global South (aka Global Majority) nations led by Russia and China. This situation is indeed inconvenient for the West-driven world dominators, who detest competition.

While this global control contest is going on, we must be able to function in some manner regardless. It might therefore be reasonable to assume a Disease-X lockdown (or martial law equivalent) as a serious near-term risk.

Most of us have the COVID-19 lockdown experience to guide us in preparing for the next one. How did the COVID lockdown impact you? What would you have done to better prepare for COVID if you had advance warning?

Summary:

Current:

Disease-X sounds a bit vague and techie, yes? Much better to have something much more official-sounding. Like H5N1

The WHO is pushing very hard – and evidently much too hard for some folks – to get another pandemic scare underway. Pushback is becoming serious …

The troublesome role of the unelected and unaccountable World Health Organization seems to be getting worse by the day. No doubt this is due to the WHO Pandemic Treaty meeting underway in Geneva at this moment. Latest news on the meeting …

And then there is this recent article that alerts us to the likely connection between the WHO Pandemic Treaty and Disease-X, aka bird flu, aka H5N1:

This story seems to help confirm a very bad sense that I’ve had for quite some time that the “bad guys” (i.e., on all sides) need a major set of catastrophes to happen concurrently. Otherwise, their One World Everything machinations seem likely to fail. Soon.

Ethan Huff writing in Natural News on 5/31/24 describes the hard times that have happily happened to the WHO: “WHO Pandemic Treaty DIES, IHR amendments all but neutralized”:

“The time has come for member states of the United Nations (UN) to vote on the World Health Organization’s (WHO) amended International Health Regulations (IHR). And the good news is that the so-called Pandemic Treaty, at least the version the world was presented with, is dead in the water.”

“The only real issue of major concern, according to Dr. Meryl Nass, are the surveillance provisions concerning ‘misinformation’ and ‘disinformation,’ which the government and social media companies are already doing.”

“The International Negotiating Body just announced that it was unable to reach any kind of agreement on the Pandemic Treaty, which means the world no longer has to worry about it – at least in its currently proposed form.”

“The New York Times ran an article about the negotiation failure in which it was revealed that there are problems with getting everyone on board with the WHO’s plans for the ‘equitable’ distribution of ‘vaccines,’ as well as ‘financing to set up surveillance systems.’”

“The WHO was planning to present a final version Pandemic Treaty, also known as the Pandemic Accord, at the 77th World Health Assembly (WHA77). The WHO also wanted to present its amendments to the IHR, though both efforts failed.”

While this seems like great news on the surface, it probably means bad news coming. If the UN and its WHO agency can’t obtain world domination through yet another useless treaty, they may well be forced to combine a bird flu pandemic alarm with a few other catastrophes, like WW III. They must be rather desperate at the moment.

One might therefore expect efforts to intensify on a catastrophe combo.

Agency of the United Nations
Agency of the United Nations

#4. Ukraine, Gaza, …

Preamble:

These wars are either local or regional disputes of the kind that have been going on at least forever, or they are proxy wars driven by major powers against each other. Most likely, both. Gaza, Yemen, and kin seem to be the former. Ukraine is very clearly a proxy war between the hegemonic West – U.S., UK, EU, NATO, … – and Russia (along with China and other Eurasian plus Global South nations) responding in a multipolar manner.

Local and regional wars are just part of our civilized environment. It’s just what we do. The current proxy war between the big guys, however, is of extremely serious concern. It is presently escalating steadily, and seems likely to break out into something major. This was dealt with above in #1 – WW III.

“In untangling the causal factors behind the many crises we face today, the trail of breadcrumbs always leads to the transnational banking cartel, led by the BIS, which has the determining influence in shaping the system of governance under which our societies operate. This network likely constitutes the very “monolithic and ruthless conspiracy” that President John F. Kennedy had warned about.”

The Power Behind the Throne and the Bankers’ Forever Wars.

“In the recent past, Ukraine was militarized and Nazified to strike against Russia with the same powers behind the throne pulling the levers.  As the US-installed Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk spoke appreciatively in 2014, ‘… international bankers are ready to help us. … We would not have survived without their international assistance.’”

“The Western financial system, having operated globally over the past 80 years, is coming to an end, and in its place, the bankers will attempt to introduce a new global financial system based upon Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), Digital ID, and Universal Basic Income (UBI). The system will facilitate surveillance of the most intimate aspects of our lives and demand our absolute compliance. There is more to CBDCs than meets the eye …”

I thought about merging this one with the #1 WW III concern above, but I am still thinking that they are different – at least in terms of how each might impact us. “Bankers’ wars” are truly different.

Summary:

Current:

While I continue to see us as already in a WW III, with Ukraine, Gaza, … being used to some degree for quite different purposes, the article below has a quite interesting perspective. See my recent post on this: “World War III Is Underway – But Not As Expected”.

“If you’re getting the feeling like the globalists are really pushing hard for WWIII these days, you’re not alone.”

“In the past few months there has been multiple instances of European and US officials hinting at the possibility of a new military draft, the EU has talked openly about boots on the ground in Ukraine, NATO officials have stated unequivocally that they WILL NOT accept a loss in Ukraine to the Russians and the Kremlin has warned once again that nuclear weapons are on the table if western troops enter the war. The US government has recently asserted that Ukraine will be joining NATO, a red line in the sand for Russia.”

“Then there’s Israel and Gaza. I warned months ago in my article ‘It’s A Trap! The Wave Of Repercussions As The Middle East Fights ‘The Last War’’ that the war in Gaza would expand into a multi-front conflict that would probably include Iran. I also warned that it would be to Israel’s benefit if Iran entered the war because this would force the US to become directly involved. To be sure, Iran has already been engaging in proxy attacks on Israel through Lebanon, but Israel’s attack on the Iranian “embassy” or diplomatic station in Syria basically ensures that Iran will now directly commit to strikes on Israeli targets.”

“In other words, much like WWI, the situation is being escalated by the political elites despite the fact that the general public in the west is increasingly opposed to participating in the conflict. The globalists want to send us to war whether we like it or not.  Every decision they have made so far makes peaceful resolution impossible.”

There is just no way that anyone can reliably predict what’s going to happen next in this chaotic situation. It is not really a black swan since we can figure out general directions, but the series of events and situations that will actually occur are pretty much random to us.

Perhaps wars and rumors of war have always been used to mess with people’s minds, on both sides. Perhaps this is what many of the local wars are about. Mind control.

My sense is that we can use reporting such as this to indicate where we might want to focus our attention on becoming more agile, adaptable, and resilient.

Here is a very recent report with considerable detail from a highly credible source — Scott Ritter:

“Scott Ritter is a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer and author of ‘Disarmament in the Time of Perestroika: Arms Control and the End of the Soviet Union.’ He served in the Soviet Union as an inspector implementing the INF Treaty, in General Schwarzkopf’s staff during the Gulf War, and from 1991-1998 as a UN weapons inspector.”

Scott Ritter via The Burning Platform and RT on 6/2/2024 offers a quite different report on the Ukraine situation: “Russia’s victory over Ukraine is drawing near”:

“As Russia’s military operation in Ukraine enters its 28th month, the conflict can be said to have gone through several distinct phases, all but one (the opening gambit) of which prioritized attritional warfare as the principal guiding military philosophy. For Western military observers, schooled as we are on what we deem the ‘modern’ military philosophies of maneuver warfare, the Russian approach to fighting appears primitive, a throwback to the trench warfare of conflicts past, where human life was a commodity readily traded in exchange for a few hundred meters of shell-pocked landscape.”

“Upon closer scrutiny, and with the benefit of 27 months of accumulated data, the Russian approach to warfare emerges as a progressive application of military art that considers the totality of the spectrum of warfare – small-unit tactics, weapons capability, intelligence, communications, logistics, the defense economy and, perhaps most importantly of all, political reality. It is critical to keep in mind that while Russia may have entered the conflict facing a single adversary (Ukraine), within months it became clear that Moscow was confronting the cumulative military capability of the collective West, where NATO’s financial, material, logistical, command and control, and intelligence support was married to Ukrainian manpower resources to create a military capacity designed by intent to wear Russia down physically and mentally, to strategically defeat Russia by promoting the conditions for its economic and political collapse.”

“… From a military perspective, Russia’s strategic goal has always been the ”demilitarization” of Ukraine. Initially, this could have been achieved by defeating the Ukrainian military on the field of battle. Indeed, Moscow was well on the path toward achieving this goal, even after it pulled its forces back from around Kiev and the other Ukrainian territories it had occupied in the initial phases of the conflict. When Russia moved over to Phase Two, the objective was to complete the liberation of the Donbass region.” While I’m hesitant to believe almost anything dealing with war situations of any kind, this one has a strong sense of truth. My approach in such cases is to flag the report as potentially fact, and then to follow up by comparing what’s actually happening with the report’s predictions. Assuming of course that we can ever find out what is actually happening.

Back to update list …

Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?
Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?

#5. Digital IDs and CBDCs

Preamble:

Digital IDs and digital currencies (CBDCs) are all about money and control. And what is “money”? Money is a tool for control. In a rather lengthy and rambling article …

“… There are three fundamental truths about modern banking [emphasis added]:

 The money isn’t yours.
 The money isn’t actually there.
 The money isn’t really money.”

This appears to be the essence of what is happening in our money world. The real powers-that-be want to dominate the world and they are well along on the path to doing so. Digital IDs and CBDCs are their tools.

Summary:

Current:

The preamble article referred to above really contains the essence of what is happening money-wise. Digital money is coming very quickly. Much of the necessary system infrastructure is already in place. It is a virtual certainty – rare in a world of so much uncertainty.

Timing of this transition is not clear, but what is clear is that the powers-that-be, aka bankers and assorted overlords, know that their time for succeeding is short. The longer the delay in execution, the more resistance will develop. Once it gets organized, the resistance will be fierce.

For us non-bankers and humble businesspeople, we can only accept this as part of our near-future reality. We can’t do much of anything to impede it or change it. We must plan to live with it – but our way as much as possible.

The action options are relatively few at this point. We have to figure out how this money (and surveillance) transition might affect us. Then we can devise some creative ways to minimize the hassle and potential problems. This will be easier to do today than if we wait until we are forced to act – to comply and obey.

In this regard, you might want to have a look at a recent post: “Why Are We So Obedient and Compliant?”.

The transition to digital money is well-advanced. As the article below states, it should be in place by 2030. My bet is that it will be much sooner – 2025-2026 timeframe:

I keep reading predictions that the U.S., and possibly much of the world, is heading for a “massive financial collapse”. Such a happening would likely usher in some kind of martial law or lockdown situation since the globalists are getting desperate to achieve their domination-of-everything objectives. For example:

Should this actually occur more or less as outlined above, we would be in a whole new ballgame. Somehow, I don’t see this being allowed to happen except in the context of driving martial law or equivalent into existence. Too many of the powers-that-be-and-wannabe have big money in banks.

Here’s something entirely different, and perhaps promising if real:

“Get ready for what may well be the geoeconomic bombshell of 2024: the coming of a decentralized monetary ecosystem.”

“Welcome to The Unit  – a concept that has already been discussed by the financial services and investments working group set up by the BRICS+ Business Council and has a serious shot at becoming official BRICS+ policy as early as in 2025.”

“The Global Majority has had enough of the centrally controlled monetary framework put in place 80 years ago in Bretton Woods and its endemic flaws: chronic deficits fueling irresponsible military spending; speculative bubbles; politically motivated sanctions and secondary sanctions; abuse of settlement and payment infrastructure; protectionism; and the lack of fair arbitration.”

“In contrast, the Unit proposes a reliable, quick and economically efficient solution for cross-border payments. The – transactional – Unit is a game-changer as a new form of international currency that can be issued in a de-centralized way, and then recognized and regulated at national level.”

“The Unit offers a unique solution for bottlenecks in global financial infrastructure: it is eligible for traditional banking operations as well as for the newest forms of digital banking.”

“As CoinTelegraph’s Derek Andersen reports, the bill, which must still face a vote in the Senate, amends the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 to prohibit Federal Reserve banks ‘from offering certain products or services directly to an individual, to prohibit the use of central bank digital currency for monetary policy, and for other purposes.’”

“The Republican-backed bill’s debate was sparsely attended. Republican supporters spoke about the potential for the abuse of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), while Democrats concentrated on innovation, the dollar’s international competitiveness and the bill’s poor drafting.”

“French Hill, the Chairman of the Financial Services Committee Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology and Inclusion, said: ‘We live in a world where the government can abuse the tools it has.’”

“Representative Mike Flood reused his rhetorical device urging the audience to ‘imagine the politician you despise the most’ with control over a CBDC.”

“Financial Services Committee member Warren Davidson called the New York Fed’s Project Hamilton ‘the same creepy surveillance tool’ as China’s digital yuan. He said the pilot project ‘could be developed to something further. The Fed was not responding to dialog, so it must respond to law’, he said. Warren called a digital currency the ‘creepiest surveillance tool known to man’ that would lead to ‘coercion and control. Why would we enable it?’ he said. ‘Everywhere it’s depicted as evil.’”

“Davidson said the Fed should not pursue a digital currency without authorization from Congress, arguing it doesn’t have a place in a free society. ‘We don’t want them to design it,’ he said. ‘We don’t want them to build it.’”

Click image to enlarge. Use "Back" button to return to post.
Click image to enlarge. Use “Back” button to return to post.

#6. Economic Outlook

Preamble:

As always, the official story is that the economy is fine and getting better. Based on the theory that anything the government and kin say is almost certainly false, this statement means that things financial and economic are bad and getting worse. In practice, we might want to proceed with great caution.

What is our own situation today? Good and getting better, or not so good and getting worse? Or perhaps just static and sort of okay.

Whatever our situation is reflects what is actually going on in our part of the world. It is valuable information about our actual operating reality. No matter what official and media sources say.

So, our first step would seem to be figuring out just what our operating reality is and, where possible, why. If we see things looking good and getting better, then we need to be very clear on the causes here. Are our markets growing solidly? Are we doing better competitively? Is inflation making our numbers look good? …?

The underlying reality for most today seems to be one of continued real price inflation and broad customer-market weaknesses. This may mean that our good results are price-driven, not output quantity-driven. Vital to know which.

My guess is that most individuals, businesses, and organizations are struggling, at least somewhat, or doing okay at best. Lots of dark storm clouds on the economic and financial horizon. Great uncertainty as to where things are headed.

Caution may be the best plan for the moment – surely until selection season is over.

Summary:

Current:

Well, at least the job market is growing nicely, so says the government and its lackeys. For example, this glowing headline in a recent article:

All job additions in this report are part-time jobs. This reflects a “good” economy? Sure doesn’t look so good to me. Why so many part-time jobs? As the article goes on to explain, people are working two or more jobs just to stay afloat, probably with their credit pretty much maxed out as well. This seems like pretty grim news. How might this situation affect your plans and actions going forward?

It is not just jobs data that is being misstated, here is what the real inflation situation is:

My takeaway from this unfortunate meddling with data is that inflation is indeed high and staying there, requiring many people to take on extra jobs part-time to make ends meet – despite what official figures are claiming.

See also my post of how consumer price inflation is being manipulated: “Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics”.

Some kind of serious economic crisis appears to be a certainty at this point. Here is another extremely serious concern:

  • QTR’s [Quoth The Raven] Fringe Finance talking with Andy Schectman, President & Owner of Miles Franklin Precious Metal Investments, about government spending and financing this humongous spending, via ZeroHedge: “Are We Destroying The Economy On Purpose?”:

“Where is the common sense in any of the policy decisions of this government and of this Federal Reserve? Or is it too stupid to be stupid? And I’ll leave that up to you.”

“Talking about the Treasury buying back bonds, and how that turns into pure debt monetization, Andy added: ‘They say, ‘And this is gonna happen in the next few days,’ but who will be the entity that will do the buying? Because the treasury is broke. It ain’t gonna be the treasury. So who is it? It’s the New York Fed. And they’re gonna have to conjure up cash to buy those bonds. And while a good portion of the world is shunning our bonds, and for good reason, keeping in mind that we do need to sell almost 14 trillion this year to retire 9 trillion and maturing at higher rates, plus the current bills. You know, who’s going to do it? And this is debt monetization. This is the beginning to Weimar Republic. The Treasury says they’re going to do it, but they’re broke. So it’ll be the Fed that will come up with the cash to do it.’”

Debt monetization, also called “printing unbacked-by-anything money”, is a sure path to disaster. As in post-WW I in Germany. It may well be so far along in the U.S. that only war can prevent ultimate default.

Schectman is not the only one sounding the alarm in this particular manner:

“’Why?  It’s called inflation, and it’s not temporary.’ [precious metals expert and financial writer Bill] Holter explains, ‘Foreigners are backing away from buying Treasuries…”

“That is the only thing that has kept the doors open, so to speak, is the fact we are able to borrow an unlimited amount of money because we are the world reserve currency. “

“Foreigners backing away from our debt is going to lead the Federal Reserve to be the buyer of last, and then, only resort.  So, you will have direct monetization between the Fed and the Treasury. “

“What that will cause is a currency that declines in purchasing power. It will decline in a big way, and it will decline rapidly. So, what I am describing is inflation that turns into hyperinflation.”

“But that is not the end of our problems.  Holter points out, “I do think it is going to get worse, and that means interest rates will go higher, and that will put on much more pressure…’”

“… The other wild card is war, and Holter says, ‘War is a way to keep the system propped up.’ In closing, Holter contends, what you are seeing is not a series of mistakes by incompetent people.  Holter says, …”

“’This is too stupid for it not to be the plan. . . .This is not a Republican or Democrat thing.  We are being steered directly into a brick wall because the globalists can’t take over the world with the US standing.’”

“They have to take the US down, and if they take the US down, so will the western financial system fall.  If that happens, the globalists can have their way.’”

‘Too stupid not to be the plan’ also seems to say something about the likely capabilities of such planners: intelligent but not smart.

Some say we in the West need war because it is the only way to deal with our colossal debts. Here is one example:

“The birth of the BRICS was caused by these people we call the neocons who engaged in ethnic racism and targeted Russia by removing them from the world economy under SWIFT. This woke up many in the world, realizing that the dollar was now being weaponized and was no longer a monetary instrument exclusively. Nations began to realize if they did not conform to the commands of Washington, then they too could be removed from SWIFT. Thus they have divided the world economy bringing to an end globalization.”

“… The sovereign debt crisis that we face has appeared often throughout history. It is unsustainable because governments act in their own self-interest and will always expand debt to retain power. Historically, these systems collapse when they issue new debt to pay off the old, and no one is there to buy the new debt. Once they can no longer continue to borrow new money, then inevitably, they collapse.”

“… It is unlikely that we can avoid world war. Governments need war because their debts are no longer sustainable. They will use the war as the excuse for defaults – as was the case for WWII. They will create Bretton Woods II with the IMF digital currency as the reserve.”

“… The wealth of every nation is its people. That has been proven with the rise of Germany and Japan after WWII. This is the essence of Adam Smith’s ‘Invisible Hand.’ But those in government prefer Marx, for he advocates that the state has the power to manipulate the people. So, Governments have forgotten it and reject Smith because Marx provides them with more power.”

Historically, wars follow debt crises. We surely have a debt crisis, with only question remaining is how long before it detonates. Even so, world war doesn’t necessarily follow, as I have argued. This time it’s truly different.


Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.

Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.

#7 Climate Crisis

Preamble:

Much today is being done because of the so-called “climate crisis”. In the 1970s, it was global cooling and a potential new ice age driving the climate repair efforts. More recently, global warming seems to have taken over these climate mischief concerns. As a way to reconcile these two opposing causes, they are today merged into a catchall called climate crisis, or simply climate change. Whatever their current label, these are driving huge efforts to replace fossil fuels, to shift populations into 15-minute cities, and to reduce the amount of land available for growing food.

Despite the fact that over 1,600 scientists including Nobel prize winners have stated strongly that there is no climate crisis, an amazing number of people are on board with climate-change-prevention projects. Electric vehicles are one of the major results of climate crisis efforts. True believers in EVs are still many. Well, perhaps not so much lately.

I certainly can’t dispute what the 1,600+ scientists are saying. This means to me that the “climate crisis” is actually part of the globalist agenda. All of the big players here – WEF, UN, WHO, IMF, … – pretty much admit that, while carrying on the pretense of addressing climate-whatever.

People will believe what they want to believe. What’s important to folks trying to live their lives sensibly and to folks managing businesses and organizations is that this pretense is our operating reality. We can’t change it. In practice, we must deal with it as best we can, while ignoring any related disbeliefs.

See my post from a while back on this: “Beliefs and Stories, Not Facts, Actually Rule the World”.

Our operating reality is whatever the globalists are pushing for, regardless of their public rationale. The globalists seem pretty likely to succeed in major ways – near-term at least. This means that our challenge is figuring out how their climate-whatever efforts may affect us and our businesses, and devising ways to comply and obey – minimally and selectively – while protecting ourselves from the potentially most damaging aspects.

Summary:

Current:

Dealing with so-called threats like this does not in my mind involve opposing them – except as opportunities arise – but instead focusing on protecting ourselves and our interests. More power to the climate alarmists, as the article below illustrates.

The non-activist challenge involves identifying your points of vulnerability and seeking practical ways to strengthen and protect these. There may even be some ways to benefit from such globalist efforts, but with great care.

“The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts July, August, and September will be hotter than usual. And for those who view warmer temperatures as problematic, that’s a significant cause for concern.”

“’Earth’s issuing a distress call,’ said United Nations secretary-general António Guterres on March 19. ‘The latest State of the Global Climate report shows a planet on the brink.’”

“Fossil fuel pollution is sending climate chaos off the charts. Sirens are blaring across all major indicators: Last year saw record heat, record sea levels, and record ocean surface temperatures. … Some records aren’t just chart-topping, they’re chart-busting.”

Umm …

The climate crisis agenda, especially by the UN, has been evident for quite some time. This report simply confirms what we mostly believed. It does not change the worldview for this concern.

However, there appears still to be some serious efforts toward persuading the vast majority that there is no climate crisis, but instead a very real climate-crisis-based UN agenda. Here is what John Clauser, 2022 Nobel Prize recipient in physics, has to say and where it leads:

Kevin Stocklin via The Epoch Times and ZeroHedge attempts to add another bit of rationality to the climate crisis mess (5/31/2024): “Numbers Behind The Narrative: What Climate Science Actually Says”:

“’That’s what’s boiling the oceans, creating these atmospheric rivers, and the rain bombs, and sucking the moisture out of the land, and creating the droughts, and melting the ice, and raising the sea level, and causing these waves of climate refugees,’ he stated.”

“United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres echoed these remarks at the U.N. Environment Assembly in February of this year, warning: ‘Our planet is on the brink.””

“’Ecosystems are collapsing,’ he stated. ‘Our climate is imploding, and humanity is to blame.’”

“Despite ubiquitous reports that there is an overwhelming consensus among scientists in support of this narrative, many scientists, like John Clauser, a 2022 Nobel Prize recipient in physics, see it differently.”

“Mr. Clauser stated in 2023 that ‘the popular narrative about climate change reflects a dangerous corruption of science that threatens the world’s economy and the well-being of billions of people.’”

“’Misguided climate science has metastasized into massive shock-journalistic pseudoscience,’ Mr. Clauser stated. ‘In my opinion, there is no real climate crisis.’”

“How can there be such a vast discrepancy on such an extensively researched topic?”

“Having studied the production of climate data for decades, physicist Steven Koonin said he has ‘watched a growing chasm between what the politicians, the media, and the NGOs were saying, and what the science actually said.’”

‘“Nobody has an incentive to portray scientific truth and facts,’ he told The Epoch Times.”

Back to update list …

A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.
A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.