Don’t stand where the lightning strikes.

“When misguided public opinion honors what is despicable and despises what is honorable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe.”

— Frederic Bastiat, nineteenth century French economist and writer

“God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”

― Reinhold Niebuhr

This is the second of a new worldview-based post series. It is intended for planning and action use by executives and managers. These posts offer an example framework that might be adapted by readers to address their particular needs and situations. Worldview components are updated weekly as needed. Planning and action examples will appear in each post.

If you would like to see how this started – an experiment, please refer to this initial post on my new direction.

A worldview-based planning and action process

We are living in very different times. Our world – both big picture and personal – has never occurred before. Learning from the past may be misleading and possibly harmful. The past and elusive present are gone forever. We have only the unpredictable future to deal with – as it unfolds.  

The world, however defined, is now changing so quickly, chaotically, and hugely that it will greatly impact virtually everyone on earth. It will affect each individual differently, depending on their location, activities, and luck. And, it will also affect every group, business, and organization differently.

A process for dealing with an unpredictable, often-chaotic future is very different from anything that we have learned, experienced, or imagined. Responding to events and situations reactively may well be too late for effectiveness, and may ultimately prove disastrous.

Our recent COVID happening was an example of just such a situation. No warning, suddenly-imposed lockdowns, distancing, masks, testing … all kinds of completely new dictates and challenges. We were very fortunate that this mess mostly lasted for only a year or so, but we are still dealing with the aftermath in many cases.

Will such a happening recur? It sure seems so, based on the picture summarized in the worldviews below. With so little these days being predictable, we are forced to deal with a mostly uncertain, fast-changing future. What worked in a more stable, predictable past won’t work going forward. Very different approaches are essential.

What might these approaches be in practice? Answer probably is “nobody really knows”. I sure don’t, but I have in mind an approach that may well be appropriate for such times and challenges.

Will it work? Well, I am using it personally today to guide myself through whatever is happening out there. I may also get the opportunity to help a few clients navigate the turmoil using their versions.

Agility, adaptability, and resilience – plus a guiding worldview

This concisely is the essence of the process that I am using and that I strongly recommend. In the next few posts, I’ll deal with the various aspects of this process – along with keeping the guiding worldview updated.

When you have essentially no idea what is coming along, you can’t really plan for it – for the coming whatever. Any assumptions are very likely to be wrong. Unless your crystal ball is a whole lot better than the ones they pitch on Amazon, you may well be better off making no assumptions. What then can we do to prepare, to be proactive rather than reactive?

The approach that I recommend is to test against a range of possible futures. I use the worldview for this purpose. It has at least the value of being a decent guess about what’s coming along, and provides quite a number of scenarios. How do you test in practice?

Note here that what I’m suggesting is nothing new in principle. In the good old days when we had decent stability and predictability, it was called “scenario planning”. NetSuite has a nice definition:

“Scenario planning helps decision-makers identify ranges of potential outcomes and impacts, evaluate responses and manage for both positive and negative possibilities. By visualizing potential risks and opportunities, businesses can become proactive versus simply reacting to events.”

An evolving worldview as presented here is in effect a series of carefully linked scenarios. Routinely testing our responses to these evolving scenarios, however, can often get very time-consuming, messy, complex, and error-prone. Worse yet, the responses over time may be neither internally consistent nor effectively focused.

My solution is to develop responses that are focused primarily on improving agility, adaptability, and resilience (AAR). In other words, on making you far stronger and less likely to be damaged by whatever actually happens. The scenarios – or worldviews here – are then simply test cases to help us see which AAR actions might be most effective in protecting us against serious damage from the particular whatever that actually occurs.

An approach to dealing proactively with a highly uncertain future.
An approach to dealing proactively with a highly uncertain future.

Action areas suggested in the worldview summaries below are aimed at AAR strengthening as much as possible. You could even develop an AAR improvement metric as a way to assess various action sets.

To be very clear: the worldviews here are neither forecasts nor planning scenarios. They are mainly test cases for proactive planning and action use.

Might the worldviews actually happen? Who knows? I sure don’t. They are just some things that appear likely enough to me to serve acceptably for proactive planning purposes. Other worldview sets – your own – may serve equally well.

So, how might this AAR testing be done in practice?

Business simulation modeling

Wikipedia has a decent overview of this technique:

“Modeling and simulation (M&S) is the use of models (e.g., physical, mathematical, behavioral, or logical representation of a system, entity, phenomenon, or process) as a basis for simulations to develop data utilized for managerial or technical decision making.”

“In the computer application of modeling and simulation a computer is used to build a mathematical model which contains key parameters of the physical model. The mathematical model represents the physical model in virtual form, and conditions are applied that set up the experiment of interest. The simulation starts – i.e., the computer calculates the results of those conditions on the mathematical model – and outputs results in a format that is either machine- or human-readable, depending upon the implementation.”

“The use of M&S within engineering is well recognized. Simulation technology belongs to the tool set of engineers of all application domains and has been included in the body of knowledge of engineering management. M&S helps to reduce costs, increase the quality of products and systems, and document and archive lessons learned. Because the results of a simulation are only as good as the underlying model(s), engineers, operators, and analysts must pay particular attention to its construction. To ensure that the results of the simulation are applicable to the real world, the user must understand the assumptions, conceptualizations, and constraints of its implementation. Additionally, models may be updated and improved using results of actual experiments. M&S is a discipline on its own. Its many application domains often lead to the assumption that M&S is a pure application. This is not the case and needs to be recognized by engineering management in the application of M&S.”

I have used business simulation models for many years to address an enormous range of situations and questions. My doctoral thesis in fact was the first of these. I modeled the major chemical industry (Monsanto, Dow, …) to determine the set of top-level growth rules and decisions (e.g., capital investment pattern) that would lead to the observed actual growth and profitability for each company over a period of years. It turned out that the best-fitting decision rule set was very narrow and, in retrospect, reasonably common sense. Other rule sets I tested ended up with many corporate player bankruptcies, which of course had not occurred in reality. This modeling was done using rather primitive, large computing machinery (mid-1970’s), with punch-card inputs yet.

Today, we have incredibly powerful desktop machinery and the internet to make the simulation modeling job much faster and easier. My favorite at the moment is Forio’s Epicenter modeling platform. Here is one example of what can be done with Epicenter.

Where to start?

You may at this point wonder how one might get started in the real world, where the stakes could not possibly be higher, using such a conceptual approach. What we probably want are a few practical actions that might serve to get a planning and preparation process of this nature underway.

I always favor starting quickly with something simple and basic, and then elaborating as necessary based on initial learning and action results:

➧ 1. Your worldviews (planning environment)
  1. Choose a starting set of worldviews
    You can simply begin with those in this post, perhaps revising them a bit to reflect your own concerns, impacts, risks, and action areas. Your starting worldviews can be modified as you go along. Plan on regular updating to keep these fully relevant in our fast-changing world.
    |
  2. Prioritize your starting set of concerns
    The worldviews in this post reflect my prioritized list of concerns. Yours may be quite different. You want to start working on your top concern, or more likely, your top three concerns. Actions you end up taking for these will frequently address lower priority concerns as well.
    |
  3. Focus on action areas
    Action areas in the worldviews below reflect a hypothetical manufacturing business. Yours may be very different. This is where you target your efforts specifically on your group, business, or organization.
2. Your analytical tools and methodology
  1. Identify tools and resources you have available now
    While some may be satisfied with little more than a discussion of how each concern, impact, and action area might play out in practice, most will want specific analytics applied here.
    |
  2. My preference is for some type of simulation modeling.
    This typically involves financial structures and data – balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Excel is a tool that can be used here, but it gets quite tricky to drive an Excel financial model with action and relevant environment data inputs. You also need to get dynamic results, not static results. However, …
    |
  3. Excel (or equivalent) is definitely a good way to get started.
    Offers a quick start on your impact and action modeling. Initial use in this application should tell you fairly quickly whether something more powerful is needed – such as Forio’s Epicenter simulation model.
3. Your initial analysis, planning, and actions
  1. Start simply and quickly.
    It is usually best to begin taking actions as soon as possible. These can give you vital early feedback on both your situation and your analytical methodology, which in turn can be quickly fed back into your planning process.
    |
  2. Plan and act using small steps.
    I am a big believer in taking small steps and assessing outcomes after each step. This is particularly important where the operating environment (your world) is extremely uncertain, as it is today.
    |
  3. Assess step results after each step.
    Frequent assessment of results and feedback into the overall process gives you a regular opportunity to incorporate vital new data into the cyclical process. Also a good way to minimize risk.
    |
Outline of a simple, quick, and low-risk process for proactive planning and action.
Outline of a simple, quick, and low-risk process for proactive planning and action.

The material that follows contains the latest worldviews, along with earlier commentary, for readers who haven’t read the earlier posts. Updates have been flagged so that you can skim through or skip the unchanged material.

A baseline worldview for planning, decision-making, and action

While this top level view may be pretty much the same for individuals, groups, businesses, and organizations, what will differ greatly is how it might impact each one individually. The top level worldviews available on this website as posts, will reflect a hypothetical manufacturing business.

The initial baseline worldview will track seven initial concerns:

#1. WW III

#2. The 2024 elections

#3. Disease-X

#4. Ukraine, Gaza, …

#5. Digital IDs and CBDCs

#6. Economic outlook

#7. Climate crisis

These may change from time to time as events and situations, along with various rulers-and-wannabes, rearrange the world.

I should probably repeat some essential introductory points from the prior post for those who haven’t read it:

It is extremely important to view these concerns as inherently and largely unpredictable. They are in effect a flock of black swans that may be seen incoming distantly, but their path and landing places not evident. Recall that a black swan is an event or situation that it is unforeseeable in nature, magnitude, and timing except in the most general manner.

If you can foresee it in some detail, it is not a black swan.

None of these events and situations are what they appear. As always, there is so much going on behind the curtains. Many powerful groups and people are competing for dominance. Winner(s) if any will be evident only long after the fact.

The worldview here will consist of seven pairs of summary plus current supporting detail and commentary. I’ll make every effort to keep the supporting material as concise as possible. Both will be updated weekly, as needed.

To begin …

Updates:
Sections below that have updates – additions to previously posted material – are highlighted in this glaring blue in case you just want to skim over or skip the earlier commentary.

#1. World War III

Preamble:

As I have argued in recent posts (see here and here), we are already in a world war in its early stages. It is so far at least non-big-nuke (i.e., not a world-ending catastrophe), and fortunately non-any-nuke. It is endless local and regional wars – as usual. The military-industrial complex is prosperous and happy.

Despite numerous warnings about imminent escalation, the reality seems to be just more small-wars-as-usual. This may be quite reasonable since the various warmongers – rulers-and-wannabes everywhere – do not want to dominate a rubble-filled, radioactive, unlivable world. They want a fully functioning world, albeit with many fewer annoying people out and about.

So far, things in this respect are going well for them. Their main problems appear to be nasty competition between and within major blocks of rulers-and-wannabes. We have the West – the U.S., UK, EU, NATO, Canada, Australia, … – battling in a proxy manner with the rapidly emerging Eurasian and Global South block of nations – led by Russia, China, and India (now called BRICS+ as a group).

The unipolar West has quite successfully created, and continues to bunglingly enable, the growing group of multipolar BRICS+ nations. The latter seem almost certain to prevail in their own realm, leaving the West to continue its purposeful and quite rapid decline.

Summary:
#1. World War III.
Current:

The underway WW III may lead up to a much greater WW III, as this article suggests:

“But for me, the MI6 angle is the first one to be considered in this attack [attack on the Crocus Concert Hall in Moscow], not the last one. And the keys lie in that very timeline. Because, as opposed to assuming that the US is the catalytic agent for events here — easy to think because [Victoria] Nuland is involved — reframing this as a distinctly British operation (with help from rogue elements in the State Dept. and CIA, of course) yields a far more coherent narrative.”

“Remember, we’re dealing ultimately with narcissists here. Then let’s remember cui bono. Because without assessing who benefits from this attack, we aren’t doing the analysis right. Moreover, I’m not trying to blame shift here away from the US. We are definitely a player here. But it’s defining who ‘we’ in the US is where the nuance lies.”

“What if Nuland was fired because knowledge of this attack finally reached the right people at State and the DoD? And they realized, rightly so, that an attack like this would make it nearly impossible for Putin to ignore and force his hand politically to escalate the war in Ukraine to a level that would justify to the people of the West that it was finally time for us to get involved over there.”

“… But, as I said, the real goal of this war wasn’t just getting Russia, they had to maneuver the US into a terminal state as well, through the costs of fighting a war we weren’t capable of sustaining. And that was the bridge too far for US interests not beholden to the ghost of Trotsky and the tears of Bill Kristol.”

“And now you have the ‘who benefits’ from this operation. The US saw no upside in brutally killing hundreds of Russian civilians, knowing full well it would be US doing the majority of the fighting. The UK and EU need the US to do this because if the US comes out of this war unscathed (like in WWII) then the current arrangement will continue, and their plans for domination will fail.”

If this isn’t world war via proxies, I can’t imagine what would be – apart from an escalation to a big-nuke version. For planning purposes, this suggests a lengthy period of localized fighting and terrorist hits by major player proxies.

Government spending will continue at ruinous rates, eventually leading to financial and economic collapse – probably first in the West. This in turn means high price inflation will continue as well. For those who are exposed to war zone and even troubled domestic sources, supply chain disruptions and shortages will probably become part of the “normal” business environment.

It also reinforces my sense that nothing any government or its lackeys says is reliable. The truth in fact may lie in directions opposite to what these sources are saying.

“… I believe that the reason the establishment is pressing so hard for WWIII is partly because of the upcoming elections and also because their covid agenda failed. Covid lockdowns and the vaccine passport system were their big play to create a permanent authoritarian environment with the ability to crush conservative groups that refused to submit. And no matter how you slice it they didn’t get what they wanted. World war is the natural Plan B.”

“It’s important to understand that every crisis created by globalists is meant to destroy the freedom minded. The true target is not Russia or Iran; they are peripheral. These events are designed to create an environment conducive to tyranny, they act as cover for engineered economic collapse, and they act as cover for the REAL war against those people that still defend liberty.”

“You could say that WWIII has already started, at least in economic terms. I also highly doubt that the end game for the globalists is a worldwide nuclear exchange; why spend decades building a massive control grid only to vaporize it all in seconds? I do think the danger of kinetic warfare is skyrocketing and that US and European citizens will be directly affected. It will take a sizable resistance movement to change the path we are being forced to follow, and things will get much worse before they get better.”

Update? Nothing at the moment. Just same-old mini-war stuff, as usual.

WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.
WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.

#2. The 2024 Elections

Preamble:

We are now in the thick of a major, even huge, election season. We can probably expect to see the very worst from both sides. There are no evident good guys in this escalating mess. The Uni-party will win and government will go on as usual. Very little will change except a few names.

The big uncertainty that I can see is one in which the election/selection results are not accepted by either party. This would involve many challenges, great disruptions, and huge protests. Government may effectively cease to function, assuming that it presently functions – see this post “Trust. So Important. So Hard to Gain. So Easy to Lose.”.

Should most of this occur, it seems likely that someone will arrange for martial law, or equivalent lockdowns. Some it appears think that the COVID-19 lockdowns and related restrictions were a dry run for the real thing come 2024 election times. It probably doesn’t matter much.

There would seem to be a couple of rather likely outcomes:

(1) 2025 will be a year of internal fighting and disruptions. Probably not “civil war” in any major respect like 1860-65, but at least a serious breakdown of civil order. Kind of like today.

(2) Major cities will see the most intense and damaging confrontations. These may in fact be a trigger for lockdowns nationwide.

Will these cause financial and economic collapse? Not in the short term I think, but perhaps helping things along for more serious consequences in 2026 and beyond..

Summary:

Current:

Much as I might wish otherwise, some very useful information and insights appear in what may be regarded as political diatribes and worse. Here is an example that identifies what is going on in America that originates outside of traditional politics.

  • Paul Craig Roberts, President Reagan’s Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy, writing in the Institute for Political Economy, concisely describes an America that elections won’t fix no matter who (if anyone) wins: “A New Russia Has Emerged”:

“All across America and its empire everything is failing. Schools and universities are propaganda centers against white Americans, the military is a disunited tower of babel, massively expensive weapons systems are problem-plagued, the social and economic infrastructure is disintegrating, health care has been turned into a profit machine–at the public’s expense–for Big Pharma. Both water and food are polluted. Government bureaucracies have taken control over children away from parents. Economic opportunity is shrinking. Integrity cannot be found. People who insist on truth in place of propaganda are persecuted.”

The 2024 elections are unlikely to resolve any of this mess. Elections seem mostly to provide periodic venues for opposing groups to shout at one another in the nastiest possible manners.

For planning purposes, it is the disruption that seems most important. We will be dealing with disruption consequences of great severity and scope.  This suggests focusing on vulnerability and resilience as a top action priority.

Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.
Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.

#3. Disease-X

Preamble:

Disease-X, in case you have not heard, is a term used by the World Health Organization (WHO), a UN agency, to describe a surely coming but as yet unknown, devastating disease. Like COVID-19, even. I went into this whole mess in some detail in a recent post: “Who Is WHO? The Great Resetter, Maybe?”.

The main purpose of Disease-X, so far as I can see, is to help drive world domination by the United Nations (UN), the WHO, the World Economic Forum (WEF), the World Bank, IMF, and kin. The WHO has succeeded in getting virtually every nation on earth to sign up for its control agenda, which conveniently supersedes any national policies and interests. It basically establishes a worldwide police force to tackle the ravages of Disease-X before it actually happens. Very proactive, yes?

Disease-X then, for planning purposes, is simply (well, not quite so simply) a means of achieving world domination by one set of rulers-and-wannabes. Unfortunately, they may well succeed, at least temporarily, but not without serious and powerful pushback. From whom?

From the rapidly evolving and strengthening, multipolar, Eurasian and Global South (aka Global Majority) nations led by Russia and China. This situation is indeed inconvenient for the West-driven world dominators, who detest competition.

While this global control contest is going on, we must be able to function in some manner regardless. It might therefore be reasonable to assume a Disease-X lockdown (or martial law equivalent) as a serious near-term risk.

Most of us have the COVID-19 lockdown experience to guide us in preparing for the next one. How did the COVID lockdown impact you? What would you have done to better prepare for COVID if you had advance warning?

Summary:

Current:

Disease-X sounds a bit vague and techie, yes? Much better to have something much more official-sounding. Like H5N1

“Amidst growing concerns, experts have cautioned that a bird flu pandemic may be looming on the horizon, one that could be catastrophic on a scale ‘100 times worse than Covid-19.’ The alarm was raised following reports of the virus being found in multiple species, including cows, cats, and humans, which could potentially accelerate the virus’s mutation to become more transmissible among humans.”

“… ‘This appears to be 100 times worse than Covid, or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate,’ said Fulton. ‘Once it’s mutated to infect humans, we can only hope that the [fatality rate] drops.’”

“According to the World Health Organization, the H5N1 fatality rate stands at an alarming 52 percent, a stark contrast to the less than 0.1 percent mortality rate of Covid-19. The concern is that if H5N1 becomes easily transmitted among humans while maintaining its high fatality rate, the consequences could be dire.”

Keep in mind that that the “disease” of whatever name may well be nothing more than a way to scare kind trusting folk into behaving in the prescribed manner. Which they mostly will. This of course is the plan, nasty disease or not.

Whether or not the latest version of Disease-X is anything at all, the reality that must be addressed is that far too many people will believe, unquestioning. It seems likely to result in another, far more restrictive, social lockdown. This is our planning reality.

Update:

“Risk of bird flu infection in humans remains low.
According to Erica Susky, a Toronto-based medical microbiologist certified in infection control, the risk of human-to-human transmission of bird flu is generally low. Cases in humans typically occur in individuals who have direct contact with birds, such as during slaughter or preparation. While bird flu has a high fatality rate in humans, it rarely occurs.”

“Susky highlighted the primary concern surrounding the influenza virus’s ability to mutate and adapt. With increased contact between bird populations and humans, the likelihood of a novel strain adapting to spread in humans increases. Industrial agriculture and urban settings are potential hot spots for the spread of influenza viruses between human and bird populations.”

Another hard lockdown within the next two years seems highly probable from what I have read. It will just happen, like 2020 COVID, suddenly. Reactively preparing will be very costly for most.

Agency of the United Nations
Agency of the United Nations

#4. Ukraine, Gaza, …

Preamble:

These wars are either local or regional disputes of the kind that have been going on at least forever, or they are proxy wars driven by major powers against each other. Most likely, both. Gaza, Yemen, and kin seem to be the former. Ukraine is very clearly a proxy war between the hegemonic West – U.S., UK, EU, NATO, … – and Russia (along with China and other Eurasian plus Global South nations) responding in a multipolar manner.

Local and regional wars are just part of our civilized environment. It’s just what we do. The current proxy war between the big guys, however, is of extremely serious concern. It is presently escalating steadily, and seems likely to break out into something major. This was dealt with above in #1 – WW III.

“In untangling the causal factors behind the many crises we face today, the trail of breadcrumbs always leads to the transnational banking cartel, led by the BIS, which has the determining influence in shaping the system of governance under which our societies operate. This network likely constitutes the very “monolithic and ruthless conspiracy” that President John F. Kennedy had warned about.”

The Power Behind the Throne and the Bankers’ Forever Wars.

“In the recent past, Ukraine was militarized and Nazified to strike against Russia with the same powers behind the throne pulling the levers.  As the US-installed Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk spoke appreciatively in 2014, ‘… international bankers are ready to help us. … We would not have survived without their international assistance.’”

“The Western financial system, having operated globally over the past 80 years, is coming to an end, and in its place, the bankers will attempt to introduce a new global financial system based upon Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), Digital ID, and Universal Basic Income (UBI). The system will facilitate surveillance of the most intimate aspects of our lives and demand our absolute compliance. There is more to CBDCs than meets the eye …”

I thought about merging this one with the #1 WW III concern above, but I am still thinking that they are different – at least in terms of how each might impact us. “Bankers’ wars” are truly different.

Summary:
#4. Ukraine, Gaza, ...
Current:

While I continue to see us as already in a WW III, with Ukraine, Gaza, … being used to some degree for quite different purposes, the article below has a quite interesting perspective. See my recent post on this: “World War III Is Underway – But Not As Expected”.

“If you’re getting the feeling like the globalists are really pushing hard for WWIII these days, you’re not alone.”

“In the past few months there has been multiple instances of European and US officials hinting at the possibility of a new military draft, the EU has talked openly about boots on the ground in Ukraine, NATO officials have stated unequivocally that they WILL NOT accept a loss in Ukraine to the Russians and the Kremlin has warned once again that nuclear weapons are on the table if western troops enter the war. The US government has recently asserted that Ukraine will be joining NATO, a red line in the sand for Russia.”

“Then there’s Israel and Gaza. I warned months ago in my article ‘It’s A Trap! The Wave Of Repercussions As The Middle East Fights ‘The Last War’’ that the war in Gaza would expand into a multi-front conflict that would probably include Iran. I also warned that it would be to Israel’s benefit if Iran entered the war because this would force the US to become directly involved. To be sure, Iran has already been engaging in proxy attacks on Israel through Lebanon, but Israel’s attack on the Iranian “embassy” or diplomatic station in Syria basically ensures that Iran will now directly commit to strikes on Israeli targets.”

“In other words, much like WWI, the situation is being escalated by the political elites despite the fact that the general public in the west is increasingly opposed to participating in the conflict. The globalists want to send us to war whether we like it or not.  Every decision they have made so far makes peaceful resolution impossible.”

There is just no way that anyone can reliably predict what’s going to happen next in this chaotic situation. It is not really a black swan since we can figure out general directions, but the series of events and situations that will actually occur is pretty much random to us.

Perhaps wars and rumors of war have always been used to mess with people’s minds, on both sides. Perhaps this is what many of the local wars are about. Mind control.

My sense is that we can use reporting such as this to indicate where we might want to focus our attention on becoming more agile, adaptable, and resilient.

Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?
Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?

#5. Digital IDs and CBDCs

Preamble:

Digital IDs and digital currencies (CBDCs) are all about money and control. And what is “money”? Money is a tool for control. In a rather lengthy and rambling article …

“Let me issue and control a nation’s money and I care not who writes the laws.” —  Mayer Amschel Rothschild, patriarch of the Rothschild banking dynasty, in 1790

“When a government is dependent upon bankers for money, they and not the leaders of the government control the situation.” — Napoleon Bonaparte

“The world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes.” — Benjamin Disraeli, in 1844

“There is something behind the throne greater than the King himself.”  — Sir William Pitt, Prime Minister, in 1770

“Glenn Beck dropped a similar clue. In his interview with Tucker Carlson published on February 21, 2024, he shared a story of his encounter with George W. Bush:”

“I thought of something George Bush told me in the Oval Office. I was asking about the policies and how they were going to change, and he said, ‘Glenn, don’t worry, whoever sits behind this desk, in that chair, is going to have the same advice given by the same advisors and they’ll realize, the President’s hands are tied.’ I walked out of that room horrified… Why do we even have elections?”  [AP Note: We have elections to anaesthetize the electorate to believe that they have the power to change policy – they can’t, and they don’t.  Britain is an oligarchy and has been for centuries.”

“… There are three fundamental truths about modern banking:

❖ The money isn’t yours.
❖ The money isn’t actually there.
❖ The money isn’t really money. [emphasis added]”

This appears to be the essence of what is happening in our money world. The real powers-that-be want to dominate the world and they are well along on the path to doing so. Digital IDs and CBDCs are their tools.

Summary:
Current:

The preamble article referred to above really contains the essence of what is happening money-wise. Digital money is coming very quickly. Much of the necessary system infrastructure is already in place. It is a virtual certainty – rare in a world of so much uncertainty.

Timing of this transition is not clear, but what is clear is that the powers-that-be, aka bankers and assorted overlords, know that their time for succeeding is short. The longer the delay in execution, the more resistance will develop. Once it gets organized, the resistance will be fierce.

For us non-bankers and humble businesspeople, we can only accept this as part of our near-future reality. We can’t do much of anything to impede it or change it. We must plan to live with it – but our way as much as possible.

The action options are relatively few at this point. We have to figure out how this money (and surveillance) transition will affect us. Then we can devise some creative ways to minimize the hassle and potential problems. This will be easier to do today than if we wait until we are forced to act – to comply and obey.

In this regard, you might want to have a look at a recent post: “Why Are We So Obedient and Compliant?”. And also some mischief by the IMF (International Monetary Fund):

The IMF’s XC framework: A centralized policy For CBDCs.
The IMF’s XC platform was released as a theoretical model in November of 2022 and matches closely with their long discussed concept of a global SDR, only in this case it would tie together all CBDCs under one umbrella along with ‘legacy currencies’ (dollars and euros and so on).”

“XC is marketed as a policy structure to make cross-border payments in CBDCs ‘easier’ for governments and central banks. Of course, it places the IMF as the middleman controlling the flow of digital transactions. The IMF suggests that the XC platform would make the transition from legacy currencies to CBDCs easier for the various nations involved.”

“As the IMF noted in a discussion on centralized ledgers in 2023:”

“We could end up in a world where we have connected entities to some degree, but some entities and some countries that are excluded. And as a global and multilateral institution, we’re sort of aiming to, you know, provide a basic connectivity, a basic set of rules and governance that is truly multilateral and inclusive. So, I think that is – the ambition is to aim for innovation that is compatible with policy goals and that is inclusive relative to the broad membership of, say, the IMF.”

“To translate, decentralized systems are bad.
‘Inclusivity’ (collectivism) is good.”

“And the IMF wants to work in tandem with other globalist institutions to be the ‘facilitators’ (controllers) of that economic collectivism.”

However, the rapidly expanding BRICS+ alliance of Eurasian and Global South nations is working swiftly on a system the handle national currencies as well as any CBDCs that appear. The IMF globalist effort seems doomed to failure, along with so much else that they are driving.

Click image to enlarge.
Click image to enlarge.

#6. Economic Outlook

Preamble:

As always, the official story is that the economy is fine and getting better. Based on the theory that anything the government and kin say is almost certainly false, this statement means that things financial and economic are bad and getting worse. In practice, we might want to proceed with great caution.

What is our own situation today? Good and getting better, or not so good and getting worse? Or perhaps just static and sort of okay.

Whatever our situation is reflects what is actually going on in our part of the world. It is valuable information about our operating reality. No matter what official and media sources say.

So, our first step would seem to be figuring out just what our operating reality is and, where possible, why. If we see things looking good and getting better, then we need to be very clear on the causes here. Are our markets growing solidly? Are we doing better competitively? Is inflation making our numbers look good? …

The underlying reality for most today seems to be one of continued real price inflation and broad customer-market weaknesses. This may mean that our good results are price-driven, not output quantity-driven. Vital to know which.

My guess is that most individuals, businesses, and organizations are struggling, at least somewhat , or doing okay at best. Lots of dark storm clouds on the economic and financial horizon. Great uncertainty as to where things are headed.

Caution may be the best plan for the moment – surely until selection season is over.

Summary:
Current: 

Well, at least the job market is growing nicely, so says the government and its lackeys. For example, this glowing headline in a recent article:

“The headline numbers once again look good w/ over 300k payrolls added and the employment number from the household survey rising even faster …”

Monthly change in employment.

“… but what kinds of jobs are being created? Turns out they’re all part-time:”

Full-time vs. part-time workforce.

“And this isn’t new – it’s a continuation of a long trend: full-time employment is lower today than Feb ’23 w/ all of the net job creation since then being part-time work:”

This reflects a “good” economy? Sure doesn’t look so good to me. Why so many part-time jobs? The article goes on to explain …

“Why the surge in part-time employment? Many Americans have been laid off and replaced 1 full-time job w/ 2 or 3 part-time ones; people are also picking up additional jobs to make ends meet in a cost-of-living crisis; this has caused an unprecedented divergence between the household and establishment surveys, since the latter double counts individuals w/ multiple jobs while the former survey shows a net loss of jobs since Aug ’23:”

Non-farm payrolls vs. workforce.

People working two or more jobs just to stay afloat, probably with their credit pretty much maxed out as well. This seems like pretty grim news. How might this situation affect your plans and actions going forward?

Some kind of serious economic crisis appears to be a certainty  at this point.

Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.
Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.

#7 Climate Crisis

Preamble:

Much today is being done because of the so-called “climate crisis”. In the 1970s, it was global cooling and a potential new ice age driving the climate repair efforts. More recently, global warming seems to have taken over these climate mischief concerns. As a way to reconcile these two opposing causes, they are today merged into a catchall called climate crisis, or simply climate change. Whatever their current label, these are driving huge efforts to replace fossil fuels, to shift populations into 15-minute cities, and to reduce the amount of land available for growing food.

Despite the fact that over 1,600 scientists including Nobel prize winners have stated strongly that there is no climate crisis, an amazing number of people are on board with climate-change-prevention projects. Electric vehicles are one of the major results of climate crisis efforts. True believers in EVs are still many. Well, perhaps not so much lately.

I certainly can’t dispute what the 1,600+ scientists are saying. This means to me that the “climate crisis” is actually part of the globalist agenda. All of the big players here – WEF, UN, WHO, IMF, … – pretty much admit that much, while carrying on the pretense of addressing climate-whatever.

People will believe what they want to believe. What’s important to folks trying to live their lives sensibly and to folks managing businesses and organizations is that this pretense is our operating reality. We can’t change it. In practice, we must deal with it as best we can, while suspending any related disbeliefs.

See my post from a while back on this: “Beliefs and Stories, Not Facts, Actually Rule the World”.

Our operating reality is whatever the globalists are pushing for, regardless of their public rationale. The globalists seem pretty likely to succeed in major ways – near-term at least. This means that our challenge is figuring out how their climate-whatever efforts may affect us and our businesses, and devising ways to comply and obey – minimally and selectively – while protecting ourselves from the potentially most damaging aspects.

Summary

Current:

Dealing with so-called threats like this does not in my mind involve opposing them – except as opportunities arise – but instead focusing on protecting ourselves and our interests. More power to the climate alarmists, as the article link below illustrates.

The non-activist challenge involves identifying your points of vulnerability and seeking practical ways to strengthen and protect these. There may even be some ways to benefit from such globalist efforts, but with great care.

  • Katie Spence via The Epoch Times and The Burning Platform has a new warning – about the fraud now becoming beyond-evident: “Hidden Behind Climate Policies, Data From Nonexistent Temperature Stations”: Well what do you know … another Oops, sorry … this article has been “archived” (!) and is no longer available to non-subscribers. “Archived” or “censored”?

“The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts July, August, and September will be hotter than usual. And for those who view warmer temperatures as problematic, that’s a significant cause for concern.”

“’Earth’s issuing a distress call,’ said United Nations secretary-general António Guterres on March 19. ‘The latest State of the Global Climate report shows a planet on the brink.’”

“Fossil fuel pollution is sending climate chaos off the charts. Sirens are blaring across all major indicators: Last year saw record heat, record sea levels, and record ocean surface temperatures. … Some records aren’t just chart-topping, they’re chart-busting.”

Umm …

The climate crisis agenda, especially by the UN, has been evident for quite some time. This report simply confirms what we mostly believed. It does not change the worldview for this concern.

The double “oops” here suggests to me that both oops-articles contain some vital truths. They might just as well have posted a big disclaimer to the effect that “… this article contains unmentionable truths and possibly even facts that you aren’t allowed to know about. So there.” Our real reality at work.

A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.
A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.