Don’t stand where the lightning strikes.

“When misguided public opinion honors what is despicable and despises what is honorable, punishes virtue and rewards vice, encourages what is harmful and discourages what is useful, applauds falsehood and smothers truth under indifference or insult, a nation turns its back on progress and can be restored only by the terrible lessons of catastrophe.”

— Frederic Bastiat, nineteenth century French economist and writer

“God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.”

― Reinhold Niebuhr

This is part of a new worldview-based post series – intended for planning and action use by executives and managers. These posts offer an example framework that might be adapted to address particular needs and situations. This post continues the business case example of how a business might deal – proactively – with a serious black swan event: a sudden, unexpected loss of a major customer. Plus something completely different.

If you would like to see how this started – an experiment, please refer to this initial post on my new direction.

Rather than repeat the introductory sections in prior worldview posts, I’ll just provide links for those who are new to this case series:

Worldview 5 – the starting point for assessing vulnerabilities to black swan events within the context of a hypothetical business MedTechNorth (MTN).

Worldview 6 – begins the business case by introducing members of the small planning team and its initial working charter to prepare for a major sales loss.

Worldview 7 – adds a real black swan event – impending loss of a major customer – to the situation, which complicates vulnerabilities assessment.

Worldview 8 – the team enlarges its planning scope to include both the customer loss and the impact vulnerabilities focus in parallel.

Worldview 9 – the customer loss has brought into sharp focus a huge vulnerability: a very rigid and possibly outmoded business structure.

Worldview 10 – the team discovers a solution to their rigid business structure vulnerability, but quickly realizes that it will be very difficult to implement.

And now for something truly completely different …

The prior two posts used this introductory section, partially in jest, to highlight some of the current world’s craziness in full escalation. In the first of these (Worldview 9), I highlighted the apparent failure of WHO’s Pandemic Treaty effort, the escalating WW III mess, and the forever-impending financial collapse. In the second (Worldview 10), I took a brief look at something new (to me at least) – cognitive warfare.

Taken together, I began to see, I think, a strong and very important connection. First, the-powers-that-be-and-wannabe seem to be failing in their world domination machinations. “World” in reality here is probably just the West, since the rest of the global world is heading toward the multipolar BRICS+ arrangement. The gang of the West is likely very desperate at this point.

What to do? Well, for a starter, focus on perpetual wars to keep the MIC folks fat and happy. Very important to the continued fleecing of the West’s populace. And this allows the WW III scare machinery to keep operating at full noise so that the populace will mostly do as they are told and go-along-to-get-along (see “Part 2. Why Are We All So Agreeable?”).

This brings us to the really fundamental point of connection: surveil-and-control – via cognitive warfare. I am now seeing this as both our almost-certain future (objective) and the bad guys’ new game plan (process).

Not great news, assuming that I’m reasonably correct about this connection, but at least it’s better that a big-nuke WW III, world-ending, catastrophe.

Going a bit further here, I’m now thinking that we may not even be facing a polycrisis (a stack of coincident crises) in order to justify martial law or equivalent. Martial law in almost any form is going to result in huge and probably violent pushback – perhaps even a civil war situation. That could get very messy at best, and even quite fatal at worst, for the bad guys.

Why not just keep pushing the surveil-and-control strategy until they can get effectively full control. What exactly might “full control” entail?

A mandatory digital ID for surveillance is the key to control

Digital IDs are central to implementing cognitive warfare. This seems truly to be what WW III is evolving toward. Perhaps not just in the West, but likely in many nations worldwide.

“Everything related to the plandemic is about getting billions of people injected with billions of deadly protein prions, including the all-but mandatory digital ID. Do you like your rights to travel? They can easily be taken away. Do you like your rights to get treated at a hospital for sickness or injury? That too can easily be taken from you. Do you enjoy having money in a savings account, 401k or retirement account? That too can be ‘shut off’ like a faucet controlled by the globalists. Get ready for the seemingly mandatory digital ID coming right at you like a needle full of poison.”

“The police-state digital ID enables the communist democrats to freeze all money, mandate permanent lockdowns and force-inject the masses with prions.”

“The Police-State Digital ID will make it ripe for the Feds to seize all of your money or ‘freeze it’ for ‘national emergency’ purposes. This could be anything the Biden Regime stages or causes, like a massive grid-down scenario, a 2nd January 6th ‘insurrection,’ or World War III. ‘The money in your bank accounts will be used to save America,’ we will all be told (or at least every conservative in the country). That’s one major reason the digital ID will be ‘mandatory’ soon, or at least seem like it is.”

“You will need your Police-State Digital ID to show up at work (unless AI took your job), travel anywhere abroad (or you won’t be able to return to the USA), get gas (what’s left of it), shop for groceries (if there are any), and use ATMs (which magically won’t work).”

“The Police-State Digital ID replaces the ‘vaccine passport’ the Biden Regime and World Health Organization so desperately tried to install worldwide. The Police-State Digital ID will use face scanners, eye scanners, hand scanners, fingerprint scanners and anything else that prevents anyone from cheating the communist system. This will ensure every brainwashed and brain-dead zombie gets jabbed with millions of toxic prions yearly (or maybe even quarterly) so the Bill Gates dream of reducing the world’s population by several BILLION people by doing a ‘really good job with vaccines’ plays out in full.”

Quite starkly stated, but the point seems pretty much on the mark. As much as I detest giving any credit to the bad guys here, this seems like a very clever and practical approach given the current situation. We – us populace-folks – are effectively just frogs sitting in the slowly boiling water.

From the above article. Digital IDs can lead to all kinds of mischief, such as “deepfakes”. See “Deepfakes — Yet Another Joy From AI Technology”.
From the above article. Digital IDs can lead to all kinds of mischief, such as “deepfakes”. See “Deepfakes — Yet Another Joy From AI Technology”.

Australia may be leading us back to our digital ID future

“The House of Representatives in Australia voted to adopt the Australian Digital ID Law (Digital ID Bill 2024) this week in an 87-56 vote, this after it already passed the Senate.”

“The plan is to eliminate all forms of physical identification and replace them with digital ID schemes that will put everyone’s most sensitive personal information in one centralized source controlled by the government and private interests.”

“(Related: Late last year, Brussels rolled out a digital ID prison for Europeans, complete with a Digital Identity Wallet for easy tracking and control.)”

“A security and privacy catastrophe in the making, the scheme will also aim to digitize and centralize all government services, people’s health insurance plans, tax records and anything else they can cram in there.”

“The cost to Australia for all this is nearly $200 million, and this is just for the launch. After that, the costs will continue indefinitely, draining taxpayers of even more of their labor.”

The real cost, however, is our freedom – whatever this evolving term may mean at the moment. Digital IDs will lead to serious control efforts by the bunch (or bunches) of nasty, insane, and incompetent people who appear to be running things right now.

My greatly revised outlook from the prior post seems to need yet a bit more revising:

  1. No big-nuke WW III, except by low-probability error or accident. All of the thrashing about by the-powers-that-be-and-wannabe is to scare and distract us. They don’t want to rule over a pile of radioactive, smoking rubble. They want to survive, if you can imagine such a thing.

  2. Surveil and control is our almost certain future. The bad guys want to control the world in the least messy way possible. They also have to move fast, as more and more people are getting wise by the day. This means that whatever they do has to be done pre-2024-selection, or shortly thereafter. Too much can go wrong if they wait much longer. They may be conjuring up a polycrisis to allow martial law or equivalent, but now seem more likely to be focusing on surveil-and-control machinations. As early as year-end perhaps, but more likely in 2025. Can we do anything about this? Probably not much more than just coping, at least for the moment.

  3. Perpetual war is a definite but obscured goal of the-powers-that-be-and-wannabe. This, for reasons, is aimed at achieving world domination by somebody. Perpetual war is both the objective and the process. World domination would be nice, but not necessary it seems. What is really necessary is somewhat limited forever-war to keep the MIC folks, whoever they may be, fat and happy.

And, I probably need to add, my systems-guy view is that it is impossible to predict what is going to happen, except in the most general terms, as I have tried to do here. We are experiencing a world system reconfiguring itself, painfully and unpredictably. What we see going on today is nothing more than how the world system is going about its reconfiguration.

For more on this, see “How Can You Fix a Broken System? You Can’t. It Fixes Itself.”.

If you have looked at the prior posts (Worldview 6-10 – links at beginning of this post), you will recall the starting point and subsequent events of a process example framed as a business case: MedTechNorth (MTN), a hypothetical company that manufactures, sells, and services a variety of high-end medical devices and related supplies.

The first part of this case introduced a small executive team that was responding to the founder/CEO’s sense that a “something big and serious” might be impending. Nothing specific but just a very strong feeling that MTN needed to respond – proactively.

Responding to whatperhaps an unknown event or situation of a black swan nature –seemed to be the immediate question. How might one deal proactively with a black swan event, which by definition and reality, cannot be foreseen in nature, magnitude, or timing?

The team’s coach Phil (Philippa Conroy) suggested that this apparent obstacle could be overcome by focusing on impacts from a variety of possible events and situations. The idea here was to quickly identify any major vulnerabilities in MTN and act now to eliminate or mitigate them. Making MTN much less likely to be damaged by impacts from whatever cause would be the team’s primary goal.

TN's Executive Planning Team
MTN’s Executive Planning Team

A sales impact example: sudden, unexpected loss of a major customer

This starting point impact allows the team to utilize and focus on what they do know very well: their own business (or organization or group). They may not have the full set of relevant facts and consequences at hand, but these can readily be developed.

Below is a chart of such an impact – an impact map – and its possible consequences:

A “simple” major customer loss can set off an avalanche of serious consequences.
Dynamics here are critical.

As you certainly know, none of these impact consequences is isolated or independent. They have many, tight, interdependencies. They roll out dynamically in ways that often cannot be understood until well after the fact.

In a real situation of this nature, the important set of consequences may be much larger. And substantially different.

Now to resume the MTN business case …

Here is where we left Doc, Cat, North, and Phil:

The first group meeting involved Doc’s creating the small planning team, giving it a charter, and setting up a first working session. (Worldview 6)

The first working session focused on the sales loss impact map draft (above) and how to get started on planning – aka preparing – for such an improbable event. Unlike anything that we normally plan for, this event was hypothetical and used only to focus efforts at identifying and strengthening points of significant vulnerability.

And then, to the sound of flapping black wings, the improbable impact event suddenly became very real and likely. In the second planning session, the team found itself struggling to prepare for an event that might very well take place before any preparation could be done. (Worldview 7)

As you are no doubt aware, this is the way the world works – inconveniently and marching to its own drum.

As the team’s third planning session took place, the prospect of a major customer loss became a virtual certainty. This black swan event now had to be dealt with in real-time while the team attempted to maintain its original effort to identify and mitigate MTN’s vulnerabilities from black swan event and situation impacts should such ever occur. (Worldview 8)

The fourth planning meeting began with North’s struggle to reduce cash burn as the XYZ customer sales loss was becoming real. Production capacity including workers would have to be reduced, at significant cost and pain. MTN’s capacity rigidity was identified as a major vulnerability. This led to the suggestion that a more modular business design might be better suited to the highly variable world of today.  (Worldview 9)

This meeting took place amidst companywide efforts to prepare for an orderly transition to the somewhat smaller business without its top customer XYZ. Survival was assured, but some costly and painful steps were essential to bring cash flow needs quickly into line with cash inflows. At the same time, the team wanted to keep pushing on its original charter of identifying and mitigating MTN’s major vulnerabilities.

Note: MTN was at this point in time highly-leveraged, with significant current debt rollover obligations coming in the very near future. Handling the XYZ loss by additional borrowing would not likely be possible. The planning team, however, did not note this as a vulnerability. You and I would, yes?

North saw MTN’s production rigidity as one of its major vulnerabilities. This was made painfully evident by the harsh, difficult steps needed now to balance cash flow needs and inflows. He suggested that perhaps MTN’s business system design – quite monolithic – might not be the right one for a chaotic world. Instead, he suggested, might a modular business design work better.

In the fifth planning meeting, North reported that MTN had an already operating and very profitable modular business unit in Sweden. It’s entrepreneurial unit executive stated that he had no magic formula, but simply let his customers have locally what they needed. (Worldview 10).

After some discussion, the team seemed to have settled comfortably on the modular business unit concept. Significant problems, however, were quickly identified:

  1. MTN is at present a tightly-integrated business. Management, systems, and facilities would require substantial modification. This seemed likely to require a large and lengthy, not to mention highly disruptive and costly, effort.
  2. The company’s management was very effective and experienced at managing a monolithic, functionally-organized business. Few were thought to have any entrepreneurial experience or abilities.
  3. Where to begin seemed to be the immediate question. Cat emphasized that whatever was done must be rolled out with extreme care. At the same time, MTN’s reality of a major sales loss had to be dealt with.

Sixth planning team meeting

Doc, in a very rare moment for him, sat quietly and without words for several minutes. Cat, North, and Phil waited patiently but uneasily for him to begin, as was his custom. Finally …

Doc

Doc: “Well? Has no one got anything to say that might get us started? I must admit that I am both conflicted and baffled at the moment. “

“We have a good thing going with MTN today and I surely don’t want to mess it up. Speaking technically, of course. “

“On the other hand, I now see a pressing need to get moving aggressively with some sort of beginning on a flexible, responsive, modular business design. “

“Anyone care to begin? Phil? ”

Phil: “Doc, I am just bursting with things to say, as always, but for once I really must let the folks in charge of MTN give us their going-in thoughts. “

“Your ‘conflicted and baffled’ statement is just perfect. That is just what we should all be at this moment. Nothing – no path – is the least bit obvious here. We’ll have to pick and choose from among quite a few alternatives and ideas, I think. Our job today as I see it is one of laying out some ideas and initial thoughts. “

“North, might you be willing to get us moving since you were the source of this heretical and highly-challenging reinvent-the-business idea? “

North: “I just knew that I should have kept my thoughts to myself. Not only have I introduced potential chaos into our ongoing XYZ loss windup happenings, but I’ve gotten myself into a frame of mind similar I believe to Doc’s. “

“As much as I see great promise in our modular, customer-designed business unit concept, I’m completely baffled at the moment concerning about how best and practicably to begin. I admit to being deeply mired in our now-outmoded, monolithic, business design – which is clearly a major vulnerability. ”

“Cat’s remarks last meeting about our systems, people, experience, and expertise being almost entirely monolithic in nature seem to be completely valid. Cat, please help me out here … ”

Cat: “Thanks, North. I hope that no one thinks that I’m any less conflicted and baffled than you all. Probably a good deal more so. Frighteningly more so. My joy at potentially finding a solution to our transitioning to a modular business design seems to have been crushed by the realities of doing this enormously challenging thing. “

“Phil … please get us started since you unwisely admitted to being ‘bursting with ideas’ …  “

Phil: “This fortunately may be an ideal place for someone without your deep attachment to the current MTN business to offer some ideas from the outside, so to speak. Your caution at this point is extremely valuable. Don’t lose it for at least a few more sessions. This will allow me to paint some pictures of possibilities and enabling processes. Shall I go on? ”

“Nodding heads I will take as a cautious yes. My strong sense of where to begin is to see if  we can agree on a modular business design as being a worthy and practical longer term objective. I am confident it is, but you three are MTN. Let me hear first from Cat, then North, and finally Doc on just this simple question.  “

Cat: “Thanks, Phil. This approach makes sense to me. I am fully in favor of a modular business design as a longer-term objective. Our present monolithic rigidity is simply unsuited to these fast-changing, chaotic times. Not to mention black swans. My main concern right now is how to get gently, cautiously, started – assuming such a thing is possible. North … please help me out before I say something I shouldn’t … “

North: “Cat and Phil, and of course our wordless Doc – here is where I am, or where I think I am. Modular business design: great concept. Getting there: very scary and highly uncertain in my mind. I’m fully on board with Cat. Cautiously and methodically over a period of years, as necessary.

Okay, Doc … it’s all yours. Unless you don’t have anything to say, in which case I’m calling 911 immediately. “

Doc: “Thanks all of you for stepping out and saying what I was thinking and should have said at the outset. But I’m very glad that I held my peace in this case. You all have added clarity and simplicity to my rather scattered ideas at this point. I’ll state my being fully in favor with setting a longer-but-not-too-much-longer goal of a modular business design. It just feels right in my gut. “

“Let’s move to the next step. But I have no idea of a suitable next step. Phil? ”

Phil: “Okay, here’s what I suggest. Reality dictates that we address the XYZ sales loss situation as it finalizes, which it seems to be doing rather nicely, thanks to Doc and his buddy XYZ CEO Lin. This would be a top priority. But, as we tackle whatever remains of this process, we should take great care not to make any long-term commitments or decisions without taking into consideration our modular business design goal. We need to stay as flexible as possible. Does that make sense to you all? ”

“Again, nodding heads signifies agreement. You are all so amazing quiet today. In any case, this allows me to press on without further confusion.  “

“I want us now to step back from our reality of today. What can we do, say, for our planning meeting next week, that might give us a starting place? My suggestion, since I’m getting some rather skeptical looks, is simply to identify a possible endpoint for a modular design without worrying about how to get there. Given MTN today and its various locations doing various things, how might these be suitable for a modular business unit? “

“Think perhaps five to seven such units. Which of our locations today have the most products and services available locally? Which ones are mainly sales offices? How about drawing up a table of locations and what each has available locally today in the way of products, services, and related capabilities? A volunteer? “

Cat: “Phil, I am going to volunteer not myself but my new assistant Leticia. She is turning out already to be a real gem. Better yet, I think that she has some serious entrepreneurial strengths. I’d like to pair her up with our Swedish connection Carla. Carla also has a number of interesting talents, which I’m just now learning about. Perhaps North will volunteer with me to guide these two nascent gems in getting together Phil’s list of locations and capabilities for next week. ”

Doc: “Cat, I am going to unilaterally volunteer you and North to do just as you suggest. I’m really getting fired up again over this promising but simple way to get us going. I think that your table of locations and local capabilities is going to be a real eye-opener. We may well find that we have too many locations today and that these may well be unprofitable – even though we don’t measure location profitability. Cat … why don’t we? ”

Cat: “Easy answer. Only one of them can credibly be regarded as a profit center: Oscar’s Swedish unit. The rest are solidly cost centers. And probably much more costly than necessary. Our rapid growth and profitability have made such matters of no particular concern. Until today, anyway. Doc, if you’ll permit me, I’d like to add a chore to Phil’s plate. Yes? Thanks, we are really getting into nodding today. Might be a great communication improvement, would you agree? ”

“Phil, I’d like you as an outsider, or outside-insider in reality, to work up a possible configuration of modular locations using whatever Carla and Leticia come up with. If I know Leticia, she’ll have something to look at within a day or two. This is just her kind of challenge. And I’ll let you all in on a secret: I’m thinking of Leticia as a possible modular unit executive. Perhaps after a year of working with Oscar in Sweden. Maybe with Carla as well. Am I getting completely carried away here? ”

Phil: “Not at all, Cat. This is just what I was hoping. We already have two initiatives, small and simple, to use as our vulnerability-addressing starting point. Neither of these should take long or much effort. My guess is not more than a long day once they get started. That will allow me to think about what our location map might look like under a modular design. And I’d like to work directly with Leticia and Carla on this if it’s okay with you all. Yes? Umm … more affirmative nods, if I’m understanding our new communications methodology. ”

North: “Phil, this new nodding approach seems most efficient. I like that. You know Doc, I’m beginning to see a bit light in all of this. Kind of overwhelming to think about at first, but now not so much. Getting a list of locations and capabilities is a great idea. We’ll be able to use it for other things. And getting a strawman version of a possible modular unit system will be very helpful. These make the whole idea a lot more real to me. ”

Cat: “Your idea of working directly with Carla and Leticia, Phil, is a very good one. I’d like to get your impression of the capabilities of both if you are willing to provide it. And I’m going to see if I can get together a list of others in MTN with similar capabilities, particularly with respect to our modular unit plans. I’m starting to see some management development possibilities. ”

“We may well have enough high-potential people on board right now to think about some kind of starter training program for our modular units. This would almost certainly be a two- or three-year effort, so now would be a great time to get started. Assuming we can figure out what to train them about. Phil … can I get your help on this as well? Your outside-insider perspective and very different experience would be most helpful. ”

Doc: “I think that I may just take up nodding as a way to express myself most clearly. All I’ve heard today are some great ideas. Let’s roll with them for next week’s planning session. It will be so good to feel like we’re moving constructively at long last. Please excuse my impatience on this, but I have been a bit muddled of late. Which I don’t like the least bit. I do action best, as you all know. This is certainly action. Cautious action. ”

The next post

The next post continues the MTN story as the company begins actively to flesh out some initial plans for moving toward a modular business design. Not everything goes according to plan, as always. Black swans are out and about.

Again, you can readily see the working integration of current reality-based planning for the XYZ sales loss with the now-active planning to remove a major and apparent vulnerability. Ideally, these would move along side-by-side until this vulnerability was sufficiently addressed. Other vulnerabilities surely await.

If you want to read a bit more about this extremely important point, see my brief notes in this post: “It is almost never too late to address vulnerabilities”.

Hugely important in these fast-changing times and the increasing likelihood of nasty black swan visits.

Worldview Updates:

Below are links to updated sections so you don’t have to read through rest of the unchanged sections unless you want to …

#1. World War III

➧ Preamble:
As I have argued in recent posts (see here and here), we are already in a world war in its early stages. It is so far at least non-big-nuke (i.e., not a world-ending catastrophe), and fortunately non-any-nuke. It is endless local and regional wars – as usual. The military-industrial complex is prosperous and happy.

Despite numerous warnings about imminent escalation, the reality seems to be just more small-wars-as-usual. This seems quite reasonable since the various warmongers – rulers-and-wannabes everywhere – do not want to dominate a rubble-filled, radioactive world. They want a fully-functioning world, albeit with many fewer annoying people out and about.

So far, things in this respect are going well for them. Their main problems appear to be nasty competition between and within major blocks of rulers-and-wannabes. We have the West – the U.S., UK, EU, NATO, Canada, Australia, … – battling in a proxy manner with the rapidly emerging Eurasian and Global South block of nations – led by Russia, China, and India (now called BRICS+ as a group).

The unipolar West has quite successfully created, and continues to bunglingly enable, the growing group of multipolar BRICS+ nations. The latter seem almost certain to prevail in their own realm, leaving the West to continue its purposeful and quite rapid decline.

Summary:

Current:

The underway WW III may lead up to a much greater WW III, as this article suggests:

If this isn’t world war via proxies, I can’t imagine what would be – apart from an escalation to a big-nuke version. It also reinforces my sense that nothing any government or its lackeys says is reliable. The truth in fact may lie in directions opposite to what these sources are saying. Here is an article that seems to agree:

Huge game-changing happening in the Middle East that will likely affect war strategizing globally:

This seems to mean that defensive systems, in the West at least, can no longer stop a serious military attack. Aggressive actions will have to be substantially toned down until nations in the West (and probably others) have been able to remedy the current defense system weaknesses. Which may take years.

My conclusion (in italics below) from the prior posts on this seems to be getting a bit trashed over the past week:

I think that the likelihood of any serious world war mischief escalations has been severely reduced as a result, hopefully for quite a few years.

Umm … maybe not …

Roberts is not alone in seeing some significant escalation in the war scene:

However, as I have noted near the post’s beginning, my thinking about the WW III threat has changed substantially. I now see a reduced chance of any big-nuke world war, absent error or accident. War efforts appear to be aimed at both the highly profitable perpetual war and the increasingly pressing need to implement surveil-and-control domination. Perhaps even as soon as pre-2024-selection.

Edward Curtin in a rather long article seems to favor the “perpetual war” situation:

  • Edward Curtin via The Burning Platform wrote on 6/2/24 a piece that reflects a war-hysteria-mongering in the context of forever wars: “If The Wars Go On”:

“… There are many signs that we are moving toward a nuclear war with calls for U.S./NATO to support more strikes inside Russia, crossing a very dangerous Russian red line.  Russia has made it very clear they will respond.  As politicians of various stripes – French President Macron, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, et al. have ecstatically been urging the Biden administration, who needs no urging, to escalate the war in Ukraine by attacking Russia proper (‘The time has come for allies to consider whether they should lift some of the restrictions they have put on the use of weapons they have donated to Ukraine,’ Stoltenberg told The Economist.), Mike Whitney has written about a recent such attack that should send chills down everyone’s spines –  ‘Washington Attacks Key Elements of Russia’s Nuclear Umbrella Threatening Entire Global Security Architecture.’ – but  since the corporate media ignore it, most will dream away and get their barbecues ready for Fourth of July celebrations.”

“… More of the same, yes, that is Biden’s approach, inflamed regularly by the anti-Russian hatred spewed by The New York Times and its ilk.  It is an obsession bordering on full-fledged madness, yet it is integral to the belief that the U.S. is an empire and will remain one while the rest of the world can go to hell.  Such a mindset is behind the U.S.’s abrogating all the nuclear weapons treaties that provided a semblance of security that nuclear weapons would not be used.”

War is much too profitable to the-powers-that-be-and-wannabe to risk having an actual big-nuke, world-ending, catastrophe that would leave nobody left to rule over. At the same time, there is a great short-term need for anything scary to persuade the perpetually gullible that they need more surveil-and-control, aka protection, safety.

Back to update list …

WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.
WW III (non-big-nuke version) is currently underway.

#2. The 2024 Elections

Preamble:

We are now in the thick of a major, even huge, election season. We can probably expect to see the very worst from both sides. There are no evident good guys in this escalating mess. The Uni-party will win and government will go on as usual. Very little will change except a few names.

The big uncertainty that I can see is one in which the election/selection results are not accepted by either party. This would involve many challenges, great disruptions, and huge protests. Government may effectively cease to function, assuming that it presently functions – see this post: “Trust. So Important. So Hard to Gain. So Easy to Lose.

Should most of this occur, it seems likely that someone will arrange for martial law, or equivalent lockdowns. Some, it appears, think that the COVID-19 lockdowns and related restrictions were a dry run for the real thing come 2024 election times. It probably doesn’t matter much.

There would seem to be a couple of rather likely outcomes:

(1) 2025 will be a year of internal fighting and disruptions. Probably not “civil war” in any major respect like 1860-65, but at least a serious breakdown of civil order. Kind of like today.

(2) Major cities will see the most intense and damaging confrontations. These may in fact be a trigger for lockdowns of some kind nationwide.

Will these cause financial and economic collapse? Not in the short term I think, but perhaps helping things along for more serious consequences in 2026 and beyond.

Summary:

Current:

Much as I might wish otherwise, some very useful information and insights appear in what may otherwise be regarded as political diatribes and worse. Here is a very recent example:

“Americans today are increasingly polarized, as if they constitute two separate nations.”

— Strauss & Howe, The Fourth Turning

Others are drawing similar pictures of how the election season appears to be getting set up for a martial law version of COVID lockdowns:

It is no surprise that election season turmoil is aggressively underway. This has been predicted for months if not years. The following article, however, raises the possibility that all of this is part of a big plan  – intentional rather than random.

Is any of this true? Nothing surprises me these days, so maybe my fears about the worst in government-Deep-State machinations occurring are valid. In this case, however, it is the U.S. bankruptcy and dollar collapse connection that is most worrisome to me. This may occur – rather sooner than later. Trump may well be selected to help expedite this. Just what we need.

Whatever can we do, if anything, about this selection mess? Vote for the lesser of two catastrophe-makers? Well, why don’t we just ask Josey …

  • From The Burning Platform on 6/6/24 we have some thoughts that may reflect the frustration of a growing number of people: “WHAT WOULD JOSEY WALES DO?”:

“Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you’re not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean. I mean plumb, mad-dog mean. ‘Cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live nor win. That’s just the way it is.”

— Josey Wales

“As our political, economic, civic, and social structures continue to degrade, dissolve, and disintegrate before our very eyes, it is easy to become apathetic and surrender to hopelessness. There are relentless powerful forces actively trying to destroy the fabric of our society and force the masses into economic servitude while caged in an electronic gulag, controlled by an oligarchy of evil totalitarian minded billionaires and their lackeys in key governmental, political, banking, military, media, and corporate positions of power. We are in the same situation as Josey Wales in Clint Eastwood’s epic 1976 film – The Outlaw Josey Wales.”

Josey Wales, aka Clint Eastwood.
Josey Wales, aka Clint Eastwood.

“[Captain] Fletcher [Josey’s friend] learns the lesson that you can never trust the government, or the lackeys carrying out their mandates. They will lie and murder to accomplish their goals. Anyone who does not bow to their authority will be treated as an outlaw, with no acquiescence to the Constitution, decency, or simple human dignity.  Once decent men are pushed too far, they will push back in a more violent manner than the authorities will expect. Violence begets violence, and will create more Josey Wales type characters who will not surrender or ever bow down to governmental authority.”

“… The government needs a sedated, dumbed down populace who fear what they are told to fear and obey the instructions of their overlords. But the covid scamdemic and continuing death of loved ones from the toxic jabs, has opened the eyes of millions. The debt death spiral induced by Biden’s handlers, supercharged by the coordinated and financed invasion of our southern border by third world mutts, and resulting in raging inflation for average American families, has angered and infuriated the masses. We are approaching our moment of truth.”

Not trusting the government has a nice ring to it. George Carlin noted this as his first rule of living. For myself, it’s not first, but surely among my top rules.

Back to update list …

Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.
Top 2024 candidates for President. Scary, both.

#3. Disease-X

Preamble:

Disease-X, in case you have not heard, is a term used by the World Health Organization (WHO), a UN agency, to describe a surely coming but as yet unknown, devastating disease. Like COVID-19, even. I went into this whole mess in some detail in a recent post: “Who Is WHO? The Great Resetter, Maybe?”.

The main purpose of Disease-X, so far as I can see, is to help drive world domination by the United Nations (UN), the WHO, the World Economic Forum (WEF), the World Bank, IMF, and kin. The WHO has succeeded in persuading virtually every nation on earth to sign up for its control agenda (due in late May 2024), which conveniently supersedes any national policies and interests. It basically establishes a worldwide police force to tackle the ravages of Disease-X before it actually happens. Very proactive, yes?

Disease-X then, for planning purposes, is simply (well, not quite so simply) a means of achieving world domination by one set of rulers-and-wannabes. Unfortunately, they may well succeed, at least temporarily, but not without serious and powerful pushback. From whom?

From the rapidly evolving and strengthening, multipolar, Eurasian and Global South (aka Global Majority) nations led by Russia and China. This situation is indeed inconvenient for the West-driven world dominators, who detest competition.

While this global control contest is going on, we must be able to function in some manner regardless. It might therefore be reasonable to assume a Disease-X lockdown (or martial law equivalent) as a serious near-term risk.

Most of us have the COVID-19 lockdown experience to guide us in preparing for the next one. How did the COVID lockdown impact you? What would you have done to better prepare for COVID if you had advance warning?

Summary:

Current:

Disease-X sounds a bit vague and techie, yes? Much better to have something much more official-sounding. Like H5N1

The WHO is pushing very hard – and evidently much too hard for some folks – to get another pandemic scare underway. Pushback is becoming serious …

The troublesome role of the unelected and unaccountable World Health Organization seems to be getting worse by the day. No doubt this is due to the WHO Pandemic Treaty meeting underway in Geneva at this moment. Latest news on the meeting …

And then there is this recent article that alerts us to the likely connection between the WHO Pandemic Treaty and Disease-X, aka bird flu, aka H5N1:

This story seems to help confirm a very bad sense that I’ve had for quite some time that the “bad guys” (i.e., on all sides) need a major set of catastrophes to happen concurrently. Otherwise, their One World Everything machinations seem likely to fail. Soon.

Nevertheless, some good news seems to pop up just when things look the bleakest. The WHO Pandemic Treaty seems to have (temporarily) died:

While this seems like great news on the surface, it probably means bad news coming. If the UN and its WHO agency can’t obtain world domination through yet another useless treaty, they may well be forced to combine a bird flu pandemic alarm with a few other catastrophes, like WW III. They must be rather desperate at the moment.

One might therefore expect efforts to intensify on a catastrophe combo of some kind. People are getting wise, so the story is getting out, sort of, …

Limited Hangouts:
To present a ‘limited hangout’ is to put part of the information out there, in order to divert from other facts or activities you don’t want someone to notice. It is a sleight of hand, a way of getting ahead of damning truths that are too big to keep covered up, like the 1,637,441 Vaccine Adverse Event Reports (VAERS) connected to the Covid-19 injections in the US (It’s estimated that VAERS is largely underreported and represents only around 1% of actual adverse events.)”

“We apparently have reached a moment of communal introspection with regard to Covid-19 and our pandemic response, leading to increasing limited hangouts. The New York Times in a May 4, 2024 article informs us that some people have been injured by the Covid vaccines and implies, rightly so, that we should help them. The Brookings Institution report of 2024 commends us for saving thousands of lives by ‘slowing the spread’ of Covid through changing our behaviors (aka social distancing and masking) until we could get the Safe and Effective™ vaccines. Everyone from former FDA Commissioner Janet Woodcock to former CNN reporter Chris Cuomo now acknowledges that maybe some things could have been handled better. But they all assure us, ‘We did the best we could with the information we had at the time.’”

“An insightful individual who writes under the pseudonym of A Midwestern Doctor accurately describes the New York Times vaccine injury article as a piece, ‘sculpted to redeem the medical system’s reputation while admitting the absolute minimal amount of guilt necessary to accomplish that objective.’”

Widening the Overton Window
It’s good to see the Overton window concerning the pandemic response opening up a bit in the mainstream media and government agencies. But it’s important to be very clear that their concessions are largely a limited hangout, designed to deflect from their own failures. In addition, these limited hangouts are an attempt to distract from the continuing goal of controlling everyone through repeated use of ‘emergencies’ that require us to give up our freedom in order to be ‘safe.’ Or at least to be ‘good citizens,’ which was a powerful guilt-inducing motivator during the pandemic to gain compliance from people who weren’t actually afraid of the virus.”

“The Overton window is the range of policies politically acceptable to the mainstream population at a given time. It is also known as the window of discourse.”

— Wikipedia

Bird flu may very well be dead in the water at this point.

Agency of the United Nations
Agency of the United Nations

#4. Ukraine, Gaza, …

Preamble:

These wars are either local or regional disputes of the kind that have been going on at least forever, or they are proxy wars driven by major powers against each other. Most likely, both. Gaza, Yemen, and kin seem to be the former. Ukraine is very clearly a proxy war between the hegemonic West – U.S., UK, EU, NATO, … – and Russia (along with China and other Eurasian plus Global South nations) responding in a multipolar manner.

Local and regional wars are just part of our civilized environment. It’s just what we do. The current proxy war between the big guys, however, is of extremely serious concern. It is presently escalating steadily, and seems likely to break out into something major. This was dealt with above in #1 – WW III.

“In untangling the causal factors behind the many crises we face today, the trail of breadcrumbs always leads to the transnational banking cartel, led by the BIS, which has the determining influence in shaping the system of governance under which our societies operate. This network likely constitutes the very “monolithic and ruthless conspiracy” that President John F. Kennedy had warned about.”

The Power Behind the Throne and the Bankers’ Forever Wars.

“In the recent past, Ukraine was militarized and Nazified to strike against Russia with the same powers behind the throne pulling the levers.  As the US-installed Prime Minister of Ukraine, Arseniy Yatsenyuk spoke appreciatively in 2014, ‘… international bankers are ready to help us. … We would not have survived without their international assistance.’”

“The Western financial system, having operated globally over the past 80 years, is coming to an end, and in its place, the bankers will attempt to introduce a new global financial system based upon Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), Digital ID, and Universal Basic Income (UBI). The system will facilitate surveillance of the most intimate aspects of our lives and demand our absolute compliance. There is more to CBDCs than meets the eye …”

I thought about merging this one with the #1 WW III concern above, but I am still thinking that they are different – at least in terms of how each might impact us. “Bankers’ wars” are truly different.

Summary:

Current:

While I continue to see us as already in a WW III, with Ukraine, Gaza, … being used to some degree for quite different purposes, the article below has a quite interesting perspective. See my recent post on this: “World War III Is Underway – But Not As Expected”.

There is just no way that anyone can reliably predict what’s going to happen next in this chaotic war situation. It is not really a black swan since we can figure out general directions, but the series of events and situations that will actually occur are pretty much unforeseeable to us.

Perhaps wars and rumors of war have always been used to mess with people’s minds, on both sides. Perhaps this is what many of the local wars are about. Mind control.

My sense is that we can use reporting such as this to indicate where we might want to focus our attention on becoming more agile, adaptable, and resilient.

Here is a very recent report with considerable detail from a highly credible source — Scott Ritter:

“Scott Ritter is a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer and author of ‘Disarmament in the Time of Perestroika: Arms Control and the End of the Soviet Union.’ He served in the Soviet Union as an inspector implementing the INF Treaty, in General Schwarzkopf’s staff during the Gulf War, and from 1991-1998 as a UN weapons inspector.”

While I’m hesitant to believe almost anything dealing with war situations of any kind, this one has a strong sense of truth. My approach in such cases is to flag the report as potentially fact, and then to follow up by comparing what’s actually happening with the report’s predictions. Assuming of course that we can ever find out what is actually happening.

Here is another report from someone I currently regard as a trusted source: Pepe Escobar:

  • Pepe Escobar via the Strategic Culture Foundation on 5/25/24 offers an us an alert that Russia and China are through with the West’s provocations involving the Ukraine and Taiwan: “Russia and China have had enough”:

“Something very important happened earlier this week in Astana during the meeting of the Council of Ministers of Foreign Affairs of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).”

“Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi went straight to the point: he called for SCO members to ‘maintain their strategic autonomy’, and ‘never allow external forces’ to turn Eurasia into a ‘geopolitical arena.’”

“Wang Yi detailed how a few countries are pursuing hegemony and power, forming small cliques, establishing hidden rules, engaging in interference and suppression, ‘decoupling and cutting off ties,’ and even assisting the ‘three forces’ in the region”, thus attempting to suppress the strategic autonomy of the Global South.”

“The ‘three forces’ is Chinese code for terrorism, separatism and religious extremism – actually the three main reasons for the foundation of the SCO way back in 2001, a short while before 9/11.”

“The straightforward translation of Wang’s message points to Beijing being very much aware of the Hegemon’s myriad Hybrid War tactics now deployed all across the Heartland. Still, Beijing excels in politeness, calling for ‘common, comprehensive, cooperative and sustainable’ security cooperation and to work with the ‘international community’.”

“The problem is the ‘international community’ is a hostage of the ‘rules-based international order’.”

“… Beijing has all its attention focusing on Empire of Chaos provocations in Taiwan while Moscow focuses on NATO provocations in Ukraine. Both have had enough of being ‘polite’. You want confrontation? Confrontation is what you’re gonna get.”

As I noted near the beginning of this post, I’m now pretty convinced that the-powers-that-be-and-wannabe are not aiming at a world war. They want perpetual war for financial purposes, and they want yet another “catastrophe” to use for scaring people into accepting their surveil-and-control domination aspirations. Russia and China, however, may not cooperate here.

The threat of world war, sufficiently hyped, may well provide a strong argument for a martial-law-type lockdown. Coming soon, perhaps even pre-selection if things go badly for them over the next two or three months.

Back to update list …

Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?
Is the Ukraine situation also being used by some folks to mess with our minds?

#5. Digital IDs and CBDCs

Preamble:

Digital IDs and digital currencies (CBDCs) are all about money and control. And what is “money”? Money is a tool for control. In a rather lengthy and rambling article …

“… There are three fundamental truths about modern banking [emphasis added]:

 The money isn’t yours.
 The money isn’t actually there.
 The money isn’t really money.”

This appears to be the essence of what is happening in our money world. The real powers-that-be want to dominate the world and they are well along on the path to doing so. Digital IDs and CBDCs are their tools.

Summary:

Current:

The preamble article referred to above really contains the essence of what is happening money-wise. Digital money is coming very quickly. Much of the necessary system infrastructure is already in place. It is a virtual certainty – rare in a world of so much uncertainty.

Timing of this transition is not clear, but what is clear is that the powers-that-be, aka bankers and assorted overlords, know that their time for succeeding is short. The longer the delay in execution, the more resistance will develop. Once it gets organized, the resistance will be fierce.

For us non-bankers and humble businesspeople, we can only accept this as part of our near-future reality. We can’t do much of anything to impede it or change it. We must plan to live with it – but our way as much as possible.

The action options are relatively few at this point. We have to figure out how this money (and surveillance) transition might affect us. Then we can devise some creative ways to minimize the hassle and potential problems. This will be easier to do today than if we wait until we are forced to act – to comply and obey.

In this regard, you might want to have a look at a recent post: “Why Are We So Obedient and Compliant?”.

The transition to digital money is well-advanced. As the article below states, it should be in place by 2030. My bet is that it will be much sooner – 2025-2026 timeframe:

I keep reading predictions that the U.S., and possibly much of the world, is heading for a “massive financial collapse”. Such a happening would likely usher in some kind of martial law or lockdown situation since the globalists are getting desperate to achieve their domination-of-everything objectives. For example:

Should this actually occur more or less as outlined above, we would be in a whole new ballgame. Somehow, I don’t see this being allowed to happen except in the context of driving martial law or equivalent into existence. Too many of the powers-that-be-and-wannabe have big money in banks.

Here’s something entirely different, and perhaps promising if real:

“Get ready for what may well be the geoeconomic bombshell of 2024: the coming of a decentralized monetary ecosystem.”

“Welcome to The Unit  – a concept that has already been discussed by the financial services and investments working group set up by the BRICS+ Business Council and has a serious shot at becoming official BRICS+ policy as early as in 2025.”

“The Global Majority has had enough of the centrally controlled monetary framework put in place 80 years ago in Bretton Woods and its endemic flaws: chronic deficits fueling irresponsible military spending; speculative bubbles; politically motivated sanctions and secondary sanctions; abuse of settlement and payment infrastructure; protectionism; and the lack of fair arbitration.”

“In contrast, the Unit proposes a reliable, quick and economically efficient solution for cross-border payments. The – transactional – Unit is a game-changer as a new form of international currency that can be issued in a de-centralized way, and then recognized and regulated at national level.”

“The Unit offers a unique solution for bottlenecks in global financial infrastructure: it is eligible for traditional banking operations as well as for the newest forms of digital banking.”

I have to believe that this effort is nothing more than a distraction from whatever is actually going on. Congress has proven itself completely useless, or worse, so many times that its well-earned credibility is zero, or less.

While attention seems to be focusing on CBDCs at the moment, here is a rather disturbing view on the stability of the dollar itself. If the dollar collapses, so will CBDCs that are fiat versions of this fiat version of real money.

“They could lower interest rates. They know very well what would happen. Smoldering inflation would flare up everywhere, again, and the cost of living would skyrocket. Again.”

“But there’s an even bigger problem…”

Higher interest rates are preventing a total collapse in the dollar’s value. [emphasis added]

“One final thing ‘investors’ and the finance media forgets: The U.S. dollar has no intrinsic value. None. Zero.”

“When the Treasury Department sells an IOU, they’re promising to pay nothing but dollars. And the Federal Reserve can, as Neal Kashkari famously said, can print an infinite number of dollars. An infinite number of dollars won’t improve our situation.”

“See, the Biden regime has been flooding the world with U.S. debt at a staggering pace. When Biden took office, the nation had $28 trillion in debt. Now, we’re at $34.6 trillion – a 24% increase! Not even counting his plans for the 2024 budget.”

“… Since the dollar has no intrinsic value, its global value is based on supply and demand. A 24% increase in supply, without an equivalent increase in demand, has one result: Lower value.”

“Maybe you’ve wondered why your purchasing power has declined 17% since January 2021? Well, now you know.”

“Obviously this is not a problem you can solve by making more dollars! The only reason any sovereign currency has value is an implicit promise that the issuer won’t engage in reckless hyperinflationary money-printing.”

Back to update list …

Click image to enlarge. Use "Back" button to return to post.
Click image to enlarge. Use “Back” button to return to the post.

#6. Economic Outlook

Preamble:

As always, the official story is that the economy is fine and getting better. Based on the theory that anything the government and kin say is almost certainly false, this statement means that things financial and economic are bad and getting worse. In practice, we might want to proceed with great caution.

What is our own situation today? Good and getting better, or not so good and getting worse? Or perhaps just static and sort of okay.

Whatever our situation is reflects what is actually going on in our part of the world. It is valuable information about our actual operating reality. No matter what official and media sources say.

So, our first step would seem to be figuring out just what our operating reality is and, where possible, why. If we see things looking good and getting better, then we need to be very clear on the causes here. Are our markets growing solidly? Are we doing better competitively? Is inflation making our numbers look good? …

The underlying reality for most today seems to be one of continued real price inflation and broad customer-market weaknesses. This may mean that our good results are price-driven, not output-quantity-driven. Vital to know which.

My guess is that most individuals, businesses, and organizations are struggling, at least somewhat, or doing okay at best. Lots of dark storm clouds on the economic and financial horizon. Great uncertainty as to where things are headed.

Caution may be the best plan for the moment – surely until selection season is over.

Summary:

Current:

Well, at least the job market is growing nicely, so says the government and its lackeys. For example, this glowing headline in a recent article:

All job additions in this report are part-time jobs. This reflects a “good” economy? Sure doesn’t look so good to me. Why so many part-time jobs? As the article goes on to explain, people are working two or more jobs just to stay afloat, probably with their credit pretty much maxed out as well. This seems like pretty grim news. How might this situation affect your plans and actions going forward?

It is not just jobs data that is being misstated, here is what the real inflation situation is:

My takeaway from this unfortunate meddling with data is that inflation is indeed high and staying there, requiring many people to take on extra jobs part-time to make ends meet – despite what official figures are claiming.

See also my post on how consumer price inflation is being manipulated: “Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics”.

Some kind of serious economic crisis appears to be a certainty at this point. Here is another extremely serious concern:

  • QTR’s [Quoth The Raven] Fringe Finance talking with Andy Schectman, President & Owner of Miles Franklin Precious Metal Investments, about government spending and financing this humongous spending, via ZeroHedge: “Are We Destroying The Economy On Purpose?”:

“Where is the common sense in any of the policy decisions of this government and of this Federal Reserve? Or is it too stupid to be stupid? And I’ll leave that up to you.”

“Talking about the Treasury buying back bonds, and how that turns into pure debt monetization, Andy added: ‘They say, ‘And this is gonna happen in the next few days,’ but who will be the entity that will do the buying? Because the treasury is broke. It ain’t gonna be the treasury. So who is it? It’s the New York Fed. And they’re gonna have to conjure up cash to buy those bonds. And while a good portion of the world is shunning our bonds, and for good reason, keeping in mind that we do need to sell almost 14 trillion this year to retire 9 trillion and maturing at higher rates, plus the current bills. You know, who’s going to do it? And this is debt monetization. This is the beginning to Weimar Republic. The Treasury says they’re going to do it, but they’re broke. So it’ll be the Fed that will come up with the cash to do it.’”

Debt monetization, also called “printing unbacked-by-anything money”, is a sure path to disaster. As in post-WW I in Germany. It may well be so far along in the U.S. that only war can prevent ultimate default.

Schectman is not the only one sounding the alarm in this particular manner:

“’Why?  It’s called inflation, and it’s not temporary.’ [precious metals expert and financial writer Bill] Holter explains, ‘Foreigners are backing away from buying Treasuries…”

“That is the only thing that has kept the doors open, so to speak, is the fact we are able to borrow an unlimited amount of money because we are the world reserve currency. “

“Foreigners backing away from our debt is going to lead the Federal Reserve to be the buyer of last, and then, only resort.  So, you will have direct monetization between the Fed and the Treasury. “

“What that will cause is a currency that declines in purchasing power. It will decline in a big way, and it will decline rapidly. So, what I am describing is inflation that turns into hyperinflation.”

“But that is not the end of our problems.  Holter points out, ‘I do think it is going to get worse, and that means interest rates will go higher, and that will put on much more pressure…’”

“… The other wild card is war, and Holter says, ‘War is a way to keep the system propped up.’ In closing, Holter contends, what you are seeing is not a series of mistakes by incompetent people.  Holter says, …”

“’This is too stupid for it not to be the plan. . . .This is not a Republican or Democrat thing.  We are being steered directly into a brick wall because the globalists can’t take over the world with the US standing.’”

“They have to take the US down, and if they take the US down, so will the western financial system fall.  If that happens, the globalists can have their way.’”

‘Too stupid not to be the plan’ also seems to say something about the likely capabilities of such planners: intelligent but not smart.

Some say we in the West need war because it is the only way to deal with our colossal debts. Here is one example:

“The birth of the BRICS was caused by these people we call the neocons who engaged in ethnic racism and targeted Russia by removing them from the world economy under SWIFT. This woke up many in the world, realizing that the dollar was now being weaponized and was no longer a monetary instrument exclusively. Nations began to realize if they did not conform to the commands of Washington, then they too could be removed from SWIFT. Thus they have divided the world economy bringing to an end globalization.”

“… The sovereign debt crisis that we face has appeared often throughout history. It is unsustainable because governments act in their own self-interest and will always expand debt to retain power. Historically, these systems collapse when they issue new debt to pay off the old, and no one is there to buy the new debt. Once they can no longer continue to borrow new money, then inevitably, they collapse.”

“… It is unlikely that we can avoid world war. Governments need war because their debts are no longer sustainable. They will use the war as the excuse for defaults – as was the case for WWII. They will create Bretton Woods II with the IMF digital currency as the reserve.”

“… The wealth of every nation is its people. That has been proven with the rise of Germany and Japan after WWII. This is the essence of Adam Smith’s ‘Invisible Hand.’ But those in government prefer Marx, for he advocates that the state has the power to manipulate the people. So, Governments have forgotten it and reject Smith because Marx provides them with more power.”

Historically, wars follow debt crises. We surely have a debt crisis, with only question remaining is how long before it detonates. Even so, world war doesn’t necessarily follow, as I have argued. This time it’s truly different.

Back to update list …


Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.

Price inflation? Probably just another rumor, or maybe even a conspiracy theory.

#7 Climate Crisis

Preamble:

Much today is being done because of the so-called “climate crisis”. In the 1970s, it was global cooling and a potential new ice age driving the climate repair efforts. More recently, global warming seems to have taken over these climate mischief concerns. As a way to reconcile these two opposing causes, they are today merged into a catchall called climate crisis, or simply climate change. Whatever their current label, these are driving huge efforts to replace fossil fuels, to shift populations into 15-minute cities, and to reduce the amount of land available for growing food.

Despite the fact that over 1,600 scientists including Nobel prize winners have stated strongly that there is no climate crisis, an amazing number of people are on board with climate-change-prevention projects. Electric vehicles are one of the major results of climate crisis efforts. True believers in EVs are still many. Well, perhaps not so much lately.

I certainly can’t dispute what the 1,600+ scientists are saying. This means to me that the “climate crisis” is actually part of the globalist agenda. All of the big players here – WEF, UN, WHO, IMF, … – pretty much admit that, while carrying on the pretense of addressing climate-whatever.

People will believe what they want to believe. What’s important to folks trying to live their lives sensibly and to folks managing businesses and organizations is that this pretense is our operating reality. We can’t change it. In practice, we must deal with it as best we can, while ignoring any related disbeliefs.

See my post from a while back on this: “Beliefs and Stories, Not Facts, Actually Rule the World”.

Our operating reality is whatever the globalists are pushing for, regardless of their public rationale. The globalists seem pretty likely to succeed in major ways – near-term at least. This means that our challenge is figuring out how their climate-whatever efforts may affect us and our businesses, and devising ways to comply and obey – minimally and selectively – while protecting ourselves from the potentially most damaging aspects.

Summary:

Current:

Dealing with so-called threats like this does not in my mind involve opposing them – except as opportunities arise – but instead focusing on protecting ourselves and our interests. More power to the climate alarmists, as the article below illustrates.

The non-activist challenge involves identifying your points of vulnerability and seeking practical ways to strengthen and protect these. There may even be some ways to benefit from such globalist efforts, but with great care.

“The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts July, August, and September will be hotter than usual. And for those who view warmer temperatures as problematic, that’s a significant cause for concern.”

“’Earth’s issuing a distress call,’ said United Nations secretary-general António Guterres on March 19. ‘The latest State of the Global Climate report shows a planet on the brink.’”

“Fossil fuel pollution is sending climate chaos off the charts. Sirens are blaring across all major indicators: Last year saw record heat, record sea levels, and record ocean surface temperatures. … Some records aren’t just chart-topping, they’re chart-busting.”

Umm …

The climate crisis agenda, especially by the UN, has been evident for quite some time. This report simply confirms what we mostly believed. It does not change the worldview for this concern.

However, there appears still to be some serious efforts toward persuading the vast majority that there is no climate crisis, but instead a very real climate-crisis-based UN agenda. Here is what John Clauser, 2022 Nobel Prize recipient in physics, has to say and where it leads:

“’That’s what’s boiling the oceans, creating these atmospheric rivers, and the rain bombs, and sucking the moisture out of the land, and creating the droughts, and melting the ice, and raising the sea level, and causing these waves of climate refugees,’ he stated.”

“United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres echoed these remarks at the U.N. Environment Assembly in February of this year, warning: ‘Our planet is on the brink.””

“’Ecosystems are collapsing,’ he stated. ‘Our climate is imploding, and humanity is to blame.’”

“Despite ubiquitous reports that there is an overwhelming consensus among scientists in support of this narrative, many scientists, like John Clauser, a 2022 Nobel Prize recipient in physics, see it differently.”

“Mr. Clauser stated in 2023 that ‘the popular narrative about climate change reflects a dangerous corruption of science that threatens the world’s economy and the well-being of billions of people.’”

“’Misguided climate science has metastasized into massive shock-journalistic pseudoscience,’ Mr. Clauser stated. ‘In my opinion, there is no real climate crisis.’”

“How can there be such a vast discrepancy on such an extensively researched topic?”

“Having studied the production of climate data for decades, physicist Steven Koonin said he has ‘watched a growing chasm between what the politicians, the media, and the NGOs were saying, and what the science actually said.’”

‘“Nobody has an incentive to portray scientific truth and facts,’ he told The Epoch Times.”

Back to update list …

A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.
A 15-minute city for us soon-to-be-carless folks. Walking and biking are so good for our health as well.