“War does not determine who is right – only who is left.”— Bertrand Russell
“Only the dead have seen the end of the war.”— George Santayana
“I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”— Albert Einstein
“Europe cannot survive another world war.”— Christian Louis Lange
“The international order established at the end of World War II could certainly have been worse. However, this order did contain certain factors which bore within them the seeds of instability.”— Eisaku Sato
“If you were born in Britain after World War II, you see a continuous atmosphere of decline, moral and economic and political.”— Stephen Bayley
“World War II has always been of great interest to me. I’ve known for decades that it was just one more war the politicians suckered us into.”— Harry Browne
“In general, I think, U.S. policies remain constant, going back to the Second World War. But the capacity to implement them is declining.”— Noam Chomsky
“World War II made prosperous the United States, which had been undergoing a depression for a dozen years, and made very rich those magnates and their managers who govern the republic – with many a wink – in the people’s name.”— Gore Vidal
“We’re in a world war.”— Michael T. Flynn, American General
“World War III is a guerrilla information war with no division between military and civilian participation.”— Marshall McLuhan
World war has a painful meaning for me. My air force pilot father was killed in the very last days of WW II. My stepfather spent over three years in a German POW camp, coming back with serious PTSD. Now we have WW III to fear. WW III is not coming. It is here – today, but very different from what the fearmongers are telling us.
It seems that wars of one kind or another have been with us humans at least forever. It is what we do. But not world wars. They are different and infrequent, which probably explains why we are still around. At least so far …
Major wars are different in terms of players, geography, and machinery. Alexander the Great conquered much of the “known” world (Mediterranean to Central Asia) around 330 BC. Various nasty Roman emperors conquered pretty much all of the world that mattered to them between 30 BC and 476 AD (Western Roman empire).
However, according to Wikipedia, the term “world war” is more narrowly and more recently defined:
“A world war is an international conflict that involves most or all of the world’s major powers. Conventionally, the term is reserved for two major international conflicts that occurred during the first half of the 20th century, World War I (1914–1918), Interwar period (1918-1939), and World War II (1939–1945), although some historians have also characterized other global conflicts as world wars, such as the Nine Years’ War, the War of the Spanish Succession, the Seven Years’ War, the French Revolutionary and Napoleonic Wars, the Cold War, and the War on Terror.”
World wars then, according to the “experts”, are effectively global in scope and impact. This means that the world has had only two officially-defined world wars. The rest were just local and regional conflicts of minimal consequence, from a global standpoint at least. World War III, should it happen, would have to be truly global in nature to qualify as a world war.
We have so many non-world-war wars all over the place today
This seems to mean that all of our many other “wars” today are not (yet) grand enough to qualify officially as a world war. Even though we have “wars” of various flavors going on nearly everywhere at present, even the full collection of these wars is not up to world war standards by the experts’ definition.
The Ukraine unpleasantness, considered a war by almost everybody that counts, is pretty much worldwide in impact even though the explosions and deaths are still localized. So it isn’t (yet) part of a true world war.
The Middle East mess, which seems to involve many nations directly (fighting) and many major players in terms of financing and weapons supply, is also not (yet) part of a true world war. Explosions and deaths remain somewhat localized, but expanding to other regions almost weekly.
Then there is poor old, tiny, Taiwan, which China claims to own, but which the West claims as a “vital interest” for reasons. Russia and China seem to be somehow allied and deeply involved in this non-war (as yet) disagreement as well. World war potential here for sure, however.
It looks to me that virtually the entire global world is involved in some manner in one or more of these (and other) so far non-world-war wars.
Definitionally however, the real situation is much worse. We now have several types of what might be considered as “world wars” – chiefly because these are largely global in scope and impact.
Some folks, including my humble self, think that we are actually in a world war today – WW III. Why is this? If a “world war” is defined as “… an international conflict that involves most or all of the world’s major powers”, we are surely in such a conflict. And surely global in scope and impact. How so?
Our “world” today is defined by technology and political-economic relationships
These ensure global scope and impact of almost any significant disruption. Our global-world is completely interconnected by technology, which ensures that political and economic relationships are highly interconnected and extremely interdependent. We are living in a true “One World” today, whatever the various major players may choose to call it.
This means that wars of even local scope and direct involvement can effectively be part of a truly global-world war. The Gaza war, for example, already extends far beyond its local Israeli-Hamas fighting context – having quickly morphed into a major regional mess so far involving Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Iran, Yemen, and various others. Explosions and deaths remain localized, as is nearly always the case in wars, but indirect involvement in these is rapidly expanding. The big world players are deeply involved, terming such involvement as “proxy wars”.
Call it whatever they may, it is in effect a world war. Why?
World war terminology is evolving
Defining a “world war” in this manner requires the definition of several types of global-world war. Here is my working war-type list so far:
Proxy wars. Localized wars on the ground that are started, supported, and controlled by major players who pretend non-involvement. Which of course fools no one.
Tactical nuclear wars. Regionalized wars that include use of small nuclear weapons carried by medium-range missiles. Big risk of going big-nuclear.
Strategic nuclear wars. This is the “big one” feared since Hiroshima whereby at least the northern hemisphere nations are devastated and rendered uninhabitable by huge nuclear weapons. Survivors are the unlucky ones.
Sanction-based wars. Perfect example of how not to do these is the West’s fiasco sanctions against Russia beginning in 2022 that backfired spectacularly. Taught the non-West nations how to circumvent such clumsy sanctions most effectively.
Monetary/trade wars. These involve disrupting financial, economic, and political systems in as many opposing belligerent nations as possible, while trying to avoid them doing the same to you. A nobody-wins type of war, waged only by the dumbest nations. Which seems to include almost all.
Pandemic/climate crisis wars. The latest version of this type of war (COVID being perhaps the first) is just firing up, as outlined in the prior post. Here, major political blocks like the globalist West vs. the BRICS+ nations, strive mightily for control of huge areas, if not the entire world.
AI-based wars. These appear to be just getting invented and pilot-tested. Lots of scary threats about AI-world-domination, which I have argued won’t happen. What will happen is that the usual bad guys will use AI, a tool, for nasty purposes.
You can probably add a few more war types to this starter list, but these should serve adequately for purposes here.
Each of these war types involves virtually the entire global-world, and hugely impacts the same bunch. These are consequently world wars – by my definition, at least. All types except the two involving nukes are presently active or worse.
We are therefore in World War III. Today. Front-end stuff is underway.
Others are of a somewhat similar opinion
- Michael Snyder writing in his EndOfTheAmericanDream.com and via Infowars describes warnings from a variety of sources that WW III is “very close”, or even “on the brink”, or even truly here today: “All Of A Sudden, Leaders All Over The World Are Warning That World War III Is Very Close”:
“Prominent leaders all over the globe are starting to publicly acknowledge that World War III is coming. In many cases they are expressing hope that it can still be avoided, but that becomes less likely with each passing day. Multiple parties are escalating the conflict in the Middle East, the war in Ukraine has entered a dangerous new phase, and the election that just happened in Taiwan has made a Chinese invasion much more probable. So what is going to happen if major powers start tangling with one another all over the planet? We really are on the brink of the unthinkable, but most people in the general population have no idea how dire things have become.”
“… A source inside the Pentagon has warned Daily Express US that ‘we are on the brink of World War 3’ amid surging conflict in the Middle East sparked largely by Iran. The source inside the Pentagon that issued this rather ominous warning is a man named Nicholas Drummond, and he claims that the current war in the Middle East could literally result in ‘the end of Iran’… Defense expert Nicholas Drummond echoed concerns that the conflict in the Middle East could potentially escalate but warned that if Tehran directly attacked Israel, the ensuing war would be ‘the end of Iran’.”
“… There is also a lot of talk about World War III in Russia. In fact, one of Russia’s most prominent news anchors named Vladimir Solovyov recently told his audience that our planet is ‘moving towards World War III’ … ‘We are moving towards World War III. In my opinion, it’s already underway. By the way Trump thinks so too [emphasis added],’ the Russian presenter added.”
“… But the truth is that World War III is still only in the very early stages [emphasis added]. So what is going to happen once global events spiral completely out of control? Unfortunately, I believe that it won’t be too long before we find out.”
So, is WW III just “very close”, or “already underway”?
Something of this magnitude and extent should be quite visible, even in the early stages. Maybe the “very close” believers are either in denial, or trying to deflect attention from what is actually happening. Or both.
Why does it matter whether we call it a “world war”?
Will what we call our various war situations today make any difference to their process or outcomes? Probably not, at least to the primary belligerents. It may however make a great difference to us non-belligerent involuntary-participants.
While we normal folk might continue to regard the active wars as someone else’s problem for as long as possible, thinking of these instead as early-stage actions of a much greater war – a true global-world war that will at some point definitely impact us all seriously and soon – seems more productive. How might this change of war viewpoint affect what we do?
I think that it makes a huge difference. Here’s why …
#1. A big-nuke WW III won’t happen
First step in figuring out how to define an actual WW III seems to be narrowing our scope of war possibilities to those most likely to occur. Or, alternatively, eliminating those that seem least likely. Here’s my approach:
This step is simple, for me anyway: The-powers-that-be do not want to rule over and live in an uninhabitable wasteland, mostly unpopulated and radioactive effectively forever. This means that our rulers-and-wannabes will work very hard to avoid a big-nuke scenario. If they don’t want it, it won’t happen.
Of course, an accidental exchange of big nukes could happen, but it would be in the category of a meteorite hit like the one that greatly inconvenienced the dinosaurs about 65 million years ago. A major black swan event for the dinosaurs who couldn’t recover, but very good luck for us and other mammals who otherwise would have been dinosaur chow forever.
Only the U.S. and Russia presently have the ability to carry out a big-nuke exchange. This limits somewhat the number of places and rulers who might be able to set off such an end-of-days war. But what about a tactical mini-nuke war situation?
#2. A tactical mini-nuke WW III seems quite likely
This is my view at this point in time. Rhetoric and aggressive actions have recently escalated to the degree at which one party, including various proxy players, may target a non-major belligerent city or site to see what they can get away with. Testing the “acceptable” war situation boundaries.
Might some party, excluding the real players, be blamed for a mini-nuke strike on a mini-belligerent target? Regardless of course who actually did the nasty. This seems increasingly likely – and very near-term.
A WW III in mini-form is absolutely essential to so many rulers-and-wannabes today. Lockdowns via martial law are needed immediately in many countries to cover up looming internal catastrophes.
#3. Tactics involving Ukraine, NATO, Taiwan …
Note that this WW III escalation would not visibly involve the real powers – the U.S., Russia, or China. Here is what one of my favorite big-picture prognosticators has to suggest:
- Pepe Escobar via Zero Hedge lays out his sense of what’s happening in late January 2024: “Escobar: The Ukraine Charade, Revisited”:
“Selected players scattered around the Beltway silos of power, diligently working as messengers for the people who really run the show in the Hegemon, have concluded that a no holds barred confrontation with Russia would lead to the collapse of all of NATO; undo decades of US iron grip on Europe; and ultimately cause the Empire’s downfall.”
“Playing brinkmanship games sooner or later would meet the indestructible red lines inbuilt in the unmovable Russian object.”
“US elites are smarter than that. They may excel on calculated risk. But when the stakes are this high, they know when to hedge and when to fold.”
“The ‘loss’ of Ukraine – now a graphic imperative – is not worth risking the loss of the whole Hegemonic ride. That would be too much for the Empire to lose.”
“So even as they get increasingly desperate with the accelerated imperial plunge into a geopolitical and geoeconomic abyss, they’re frantically changing the narrative – a domain in which they excel.”
“And that explains why discombobulated European vassals in NATO-controlled EU are now in total panic.”
“Davos this week offered bucketloads of Orwellian salad. The key, frantic messages: War is peace. Ukraine is not (italics mine) losing and Russia is not winning. Hence Ukraine needs way more weaponizing.”
“Yet even Norwegian Wood Stoltenberg was told to toe the new line that matters: ‘NATO is not moving into Asia. It’s China that is coming close to us.’ That certainly adds a new wacky meaning to the notion of moving tectonic plates.”
“… Even if country 404 is utterly defeated in 2024, once again it’s imperative to stress it: this is far from over. The leadership in Beijing fully understands that the Hegemon is such a disintegrating wreck, on the way to secession, that the only way to hold it together would be a world war. It’s time to re-read T.S. Eliot in more ways than one: “We had the experience but missed the meaning, / and approach to the meaning restores the experience.”
Catastrophes of various flavors coming up next
- The Burning Platform has a suitably concise view on what we may face next: “RESTORATION THROUGH CATASTROPHE”:
“Even though Frederic Bastiat lived two centuries ago, his wisdom echoes across the ages. His quote below is proof human nature never changes, despite technological advancement. He captures in one sentence the current state of affairs in the U.S. and most of western civilization.”
“There is no voting ourselves out of this. Those manipulating the minds of the masses through mass media propaganda, government school indoctrination, and complete control of the narratives spun by those who want to destroy our nation, have convinced the masses wrong is right, abnormal is normal, deviant is ordinary, lies are truth, slavery is freedom, ignorance is understanding, dependence is liberty, government is here to help, and thinking for yourself is dangerous.”
“I don’t fit into this world and I don’t want to fit into this world. I do believe we are headed for a myriad of simultaneous catastrophes, and after we allowed our government, media, culture, and society to be hijacked by evil men with evil intent, we deserve what is coming. We’ve turned our back on the country we were given by our founders, and the community standards required to maintain that country. You ultimately reap what you sow and we will eventually sit down to a banquet of consequences. I don’t know when, but I sense it won’t be long. Batten down the hatches.”
Here’s where it gets interesting – that is, unpredictable and uncontrollable
I have written a fair bit about complex systems, especially about huge ones like our global-world: see here and here. Highly-interconnected and tightly-interdependent systems are inherently fragile and mostly unpredictable.
They can be chaotically destabilized by even small random events, which is how such systems reconfigure themselves into a new, temporarily-stable, structure. Looks chaotic to us involuntary participants, but the system knows what it’s doing even if we don’t.
How does this apply to a WW III now getting underway? Two vital points:
- Rulers-and-wannabes can’t predict or control what happens
- Us human participants can’t plan or control what happens either
What can we or they do about anything? Answer: not much.
Explain “not much” …
Here’s an example drawn from WW II: The Darkest Hour 2017 film:
“Darkest Hour is a 2017 British war drama biographical film about Winston Churchill, played by Gary Oldman, in his early days as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom during the Second World War and the May 1940 war cabinet crisis, depicting his refusal to seek a peace treaty with Nazi Germany amid their advance into Western Europe.”
I saw this amazing film very recently. Gary Oldman as Churchill should have earned him an Oscar. It depicts national leadership in what can only be described as chaos, indecision, incompetence, and much worse. It is about the Dunkirk evacuation in May 1940 of about 300,000 British soldiers trapped by a powerful German advance.
A real world-war situation (or at least Hollywood’s version) with a lack of reliable information and conflicts among parties supposedly on the same side. Can’t happen again? It sure can, except very differently because everything is different today. Only the chaos, indecision, incompetence, and much worse will repeat.
This describes what is happening in our global-world today.
Dealing with a real global-world war situation (non-nuke/mini-nuke)
While I have addressed this general process in prior posts, such as here and here, the world war context today is fundamentally different. It appears, to me at least, that the main WW III battle will be framed by the globalist West (U.S., UK, EU, and kin) and the Eurasian-Global South BRICS+ nations led by Russia, China, and India. Globalists are being coordinated and directed by the World Economic Forum and its chief, Klaus Schwab.
A recent post offered some predictions about 2024 and its most likely situations. Chief among these is some kind of “super-catastrophe” that can be used to stage a global lockdown before a myriad of 2024 elections (happening in over 50 countries at last count – see Related Reading below for excerpts and link). A super-catastrophe, as depicted in the illustration earlier in this post, will be large made enough to easily justify rapid martial law edicts and all of the associated restrictions and enforcement. Elections are too unpredictable to permit any longer.
Regardless, something very big is needed for the various rulers-and-wannabes to prevail. As noted above, my guess is that their plans will go massively astray due to our complex global-world system doing its own thing. What actually happens will not be as they plan or want.
Already, the Pandemic Treaty being aggressively promoted by the U.N. and WHO (see my previous post on the WHO) is faltering. Not as planned or expected, of course. This treaty has a crucial role in providing the context for a global-world lockdown in 2024. Surely this is WW III stuff.
As the best-laid-plans-of-mice-and-men-often-go-astray (Robert Burns), the real global-world war situation will emerge – to be seen most clearly well after the fact. As usual. Meanwhile, us non-belligerents have to manage our daily affairs somehow despite the crazy machinations of the rulers-and-wannabes.
How can we go about this in practice?
Agility, adaptability, and resilience
My approach here, which has become with me a kind of mantra, is to organize plans and actions around three main abilities:
- Agility – the ability to move quickly and to change direction on short notice; breaking projects up into small steps, with frequent assessments.
- Adaptability – the ability to work effectively within pretty much whatever comes along; avoidance of major long-term commitments.
- Resilience – the ability to survive and recover from significant impacts; knowledge of your major points of vulnerability.
Otherwise, hope for the best, go with the flow, and carry on business as usual – until you can’t. Good luck with that, as they say somewhere.
World wars involve global scope and impact, which are enabled today both by global organizations like the U.N. and WEF and by huge advances in communications technology. What were once small localized wars and sub-war conflicts have become integrated into global-world wars by technology and globalist ambitions for world dominance.
The COVID response in 2020 was an example of how tightly integrated and strongly coordinated nations have become. Virtually every nation on earth responded within a small timeframe and in mostly identical ways. Pandemic preparations, trade-economic-monetary system integrations, and large-scale civil activism now operate globally for the most part. These have redefined “world war” into a set of dimensions or types that involve many or most nations on earth.
We are clearly in a world war today – WW III – under this new definition. So far, it has not gone nuclear, but the machinations of the various driving belligerents are impacting virtually the entire global-world.
- Mark Crispin Miller in a wide-ranging post in The Burning Platform attempts to connect many of the current happenings and to show how what is being termed “disinformation” is playing a vital role:
“Disinformation poses an unprecedented threat to democracy in the United States in 2024, according to researchers, technologists and political scientists. “
“As the presidential election approaches, experts warn that a convergence of events at home and abroad, on traditional and social media — and amid an environment of rising authoritarianism, deep distrust, and political and social unrest — makes the dangers from propaganda, falsehoods and conspiracy theories more dire than ever.”
“The U.S. presidential election comes during a historic year, with billions of people voting in other elections in more than 50 countries, including in Europe, India, Mexico and South Africa. And it comes at a time of ideal circumstances for disinformation and the people who spread it. “
“An increasing number of voters have proven susceptible to disinformation from former President Donald Trump and his allies; artificial intelligence technology is ubiquitous; social media companies have slashed efforts to rein in misinformation on their platforms; and attacks on the work and reputation of academics tracking disinformation have chilled research.”
“The globalists are doubling down against ‘disinformation,’ because that word, as they use it, means the opposite of what they say it is. What has their hair on fire is not ‘disinformation,’ but the truth that they’ve been struggling to black out for the last four years—which is another way of saying that they’re worried above all about the ever-growing resistance to their murderous agenda.”
- Mike Adams writing in his Natural News has a short but very interesting piece – it was written by ‘Neo’, “our in-house Language Model that’s currently being trained on reality-based content”: “The world is no longer afraid of the US empire; the DEATH of mainstream media accelerates”:
“The world no longer fears the US empire.
The world is also witnessing a significant shift in geopolitical power dynamics as countries like China and Russia emerge as dominant economic forces that are no longer afraid of the US Empire. The US military has grown weak due to its reliance on woke soldiers and transgender naval recruiters, which has made it an easy target for countries that are seeking to challenge its global dominance.”
“The United States Dollar is also losing its value around the world as nations like China and Russia move away from dollar-based transactions and form their own currency systems.”
“The situation in Western Europe is even more dire as the region accelerates towards a state of economic collapse and food/farming crisis. Governments across Europe have implemented policies that are detrimental to the farming industry, which has led to widespread protests by farmers who are being pushed out of business due to rising costs and unfair competition from other countries. The Netherlands, in particular, is facing a severe crisis as its government has imposed strict regulations on livestock farming, which has forced many farmers to abandon their farms and seek alternative sources of income.”
“As the world witnesses these dramatic changes in geopolitical power dynamics and economic structures, it is becoming increasingly clear that the United States is no longer the dominant global superpower that it once was. The rest of the world is no longer afraid of America as its military and economy continue to weaken due to a combination of political corruption, social decay, and economic mismanagement. The future of Western civilization looks bleak as countries like Germany, France, and the UK face imminent collapse and are unable to protect their own borders from invading forces.”
- Martin Armstrong via The Burning Platform describes how far the digital ID effort has progressed – globally, thanks to globalists WEF and WTA: “Europe’s Digital Decade – 2030”:
“The first step is to acclimate the public to the idea of going digital, personally, as they wish to create a global digital identity. The World Trade Organization (WTO) and World Economic Forum (WEF) published a report that encourages the use of a global digital identity program for persons and objects. ‘End-to-end trade digitalization requires a global approach to digital identities of natural and legal persons as well as of physical and digital objects sending or receiving electronic information to avoid creating digital identity silos,’ the 2022 report stated. The only reason to trace persons as if they were objects is control.”
“America, Canada, the EU, and every nation deceived by globalist agenda has a plan to create a digital ID. This will begin as an independent endeavor for each nation. Europe has made it known that they will consolidate each member nation’s platform, but it has not been revealed that EVERY nation will be linked to the same universal database. Who will control the database that will contain all of your information and finances? The one-world government — the ultimate goal of the globalist elites who desire to rule the world.”
“The computer models indicate that justice will prevail and these power-hungry tyrants will ultimately be defeated, but our way of life as we have known it will change in the process.”