Good Riddance 2023. Welcome 2024. Maybe …

Good Riddance 2023. Welcome 2024. Maybe …

A new year has begun. What will it bring us? Well, most of 2024 has already been baked in during 2023. But does anybody truly know what happened in 2023? Lots of views, along with the usual mis-information and mal-information. Nobody really knows. Any guesses for 2024? Here are a few of mine …

Predicting Our Near-Future: Is This Really Possible?

Predicting Our Near-Future: Is This Really Possible?

Nobody can predict the future, right? Especially with much of the world in chaos and worse. Predictions will be mostly wrong or misleading. But if you can’t predict, how can you plan and act? You could assume a near-future as best you can, and stay flexible in case your assumptions are way off your unfolding reality. But there is a better way …

Predicting the Unpredictable

Predicting the Unpredictable

Our world today is one of continuous, unpredictable change. It seems likely to stay this way for an unpredictable length of time. But managing a business requires some ability to see what’s ahead – to predict. How can you predict well enough for managing a business or organization in such an unpredictable world? Here are a few ideas.

Are You Ready for Emergence? It’s the Next Big Thing

Are You Ready for Emergence? It’s the Next Big Thing

Emergence occurs where an entity is observed to have properties and behavior that its parts do not have on their own and that emerge only after the parts interact and adapt. The world has recently been undergoing a huge restructuring that creates new groupings, new interactions, and new behaviors. Emerging from this process will almost certainly be a business environment quite unlike anything we have ever experienced. It cannot be predicted.

Expertosis — Experts and Wisdom of Crowds vs. Reality

Expertosis — Experts and Wisdom of Crowds vs. Reality

Expertosis – overdependence on the input of “experts” and poll sources to support major decisions. Today’s complex world makes expert input almost unavoidable but we need some way to establish the credibility of such sources. Much “expertise” is simply opinion, agenda, or inapplicable to your context. How might you establish the source credibility – trust – that you need?