Our world today is one of continuous, unpredictable change. It seems likely to stay this way for an unpredictable length of time. But managing a business requires some ability to see what’s ahead – to predict. How can you predict well enough for managing a business or organization in such an unpredictable world? Here are a few ideas.
Emergence occurs where an entity is observed to have properties and behavior that its parts do not have on their own and that emerge only after the parts interact and adapt. The world has recently been undergoing a huge restructuring that creates new groupings, new interactions, and new behaviors. Emerging from this process will almost certainly be a business environment quite unlike anything we have ever experienced. It cannot be predicted.
Expertosis – overdependence on the input of “experts” and poll sources to support major decisions. Today’s complex world makes expert input almost unavoidable but we need some way to establish the credibility of such sources. Much “expertise” is simply opinion, agenda, or inapplicable to your context. How might you establish the source credibility – trust – that you need?
